Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 55.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Mantova had a probability of 21.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.61%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%) , while for a Mantova win it was 0-1 (5.81%).