Serie B
Aug 22, 2026 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio dei Marmi
  • Jonas Rouhi 56' yellowcard
  • Pietro Pinelli 80' goal
  • yellowcard Bodin Tomasevic 10'
  • goal Francesco Ruocco 22'
  • yellowcard Francesco Modesto 45'
  • goal Rareș Ilie 61'

Carrarese vs Mantova - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Carrarese

All competitions
Last game
May 8, 2026 7.30pm
Virtus Entella 2 - 1 Carrarese
Goals scored
1
Top scorer
Pietro Pinelli

Mantova

All competitions
Last game
May 8, 2026 7.30pm
Frosinone 5 - 0 Mantova
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Francesco Ruocco

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrarese win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Mantova had a probability of 30.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carrarese win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Mantova win was 0-1 (8.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result

Carrarese 42.67% ▼ (-0.13)
Draw 26.41% ▲ (+0.11)
Mantova 30.91% ▲ (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.68% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.39% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 25.61% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 50.16% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 49.84% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 3.5 28.12% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 71.88% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 15.18% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 4.5 84.82% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Carrarese 29.83% ▲ (+0.06)
Draw 46.67% ▼ (-0.13)
Mantova 23.5% ▲ (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Carrarese 51.81% ▼ (-0.05)
No Goal 7.27% ▲ (+0.03)
Mantova 40.92% ▲ (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 58.25% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.72%
Under 8 30.03% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 9 46.26% ▼ (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.99%
Under 9 41.75% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 10.5 35.04% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 10.5 64.96% ▲ (+0.02)

Carrarese Goals

Over 1.5 41.59% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 58.41% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 17.19% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 2.5 82.81% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 5.72% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 94.28% ▲ (+0.05)

Mantova Goals

Over 0.5 66.64% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 33.36% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 32.28% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 67.72% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 11.54% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 88.46% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.39%
Under 3.5 96.61%

Score analysis

Carrarese 42.68%
Draw 26.41%
Mantova 30.91%
Carrarese
1-0 @ 10.13%
2-1 @ 9.45% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 7.02%
3-1 @ 4.31% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.3% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.83% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 5.64% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 42.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.39% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 7.27% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.64% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 26.41%
Mantova
0-1 @ 8.21% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 7.45%
0-2 @ 4.82% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.99% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.29%
0-3 @ 1.84%
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 30.91%

Head to Head

Serie B Gameweek 27
Mar 1, 2026 4.15pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Danilo Martelli
  • Davide Bragantini 1' goal
  • Davis Mensah 62' yellowcard
  • Francesco Ruocco 62' yellowcard
  • Stefano Cella 76' yellowcard
  • Federico Zuccon 77' yellowcard
  • Francesco Ruocco 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mattia Finotto 45'
  • yellowcard Niccolò Belloni 46'
  • yellowcard Mattia Finotto 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Ernesto Torregrossa 60'
  • yellowcard Filippo Melegoni 60'
  • goal Luis Hasa 80'
  • yellowcard Gabriele Parlanti 84'
Serie B
Dec 27, 2025 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Fabio Abiuso 34' yellowcard
  • Nicolo Calabrese 45'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alessio Castellini 6'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Radaelli 90'+4'
Serie B Gameweek 38
May 9, 2025 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Danilo Martelli
  • Leonardo Mancuso 44' goal
  • Stefano Cella 63' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Debenedetti 83' goal
  • Mattia Aramu 84' yellowcard
  • Davide Bragantini 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Julian Illanes Minucci 33'
  • goal Mattia Finotto 47'
  • yellowcard Manuel Cicconi 55'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Capezzi 76'
Serie B Gameweek 9
Oct 20, 2024 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani
  • 4' goal
  • Mauro Coppolaro 17' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Schiavi 71' goal
  • yellowcard Leonardo Mancuso 9'
  • yellowcard Salvatore Burrai 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Fabrizio Brignani 58'
  • goal Leonardo Mancuso 68'
  • yellowcard Cristiano Bani 78'