Coppa Italia
Aug 15, 2026 8.15pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
  • Giovanni Simeone 9' goal
  • yellowcard Filippo Oliana 39'
  • redcard Filippo Oliana 81'

Torino vs Carrarese - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Torino

All competitions

Carrarese

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 43.84%. A win for Carrarese had a probability of 29.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Carrarese win was 0-1 (8.3%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result

Torino 43.84% ▼ (-0.06)
Draw 26.9% ▲ (+0.01)
Carrarese 29.26% ▲ (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.79% ▲ (+0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.77% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 27.23% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 48.77% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 51.23% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 26.58% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 73.42% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 14.69% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 85.31% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Torino 31.19% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 46.79% ▼ (-0.07)
Carrarese 22.02% ▲ (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Torino 53.89% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 8.29% ▲ (+0.01)
Carrarese 37.82% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 62.7% ▼ (-0.17)
Equal 8 11.11%
Under 8 26.19% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 9 50.92% ▼ (-0.15)
Equal 9 11.79% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 9 37.3% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 10.5 39.48% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 10.5 60.52% ▲ (+0.14)

Torino Goals

Over 1.5 41.45% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 58.55% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 17.81% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 82.19% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 6.28% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 93.72% ▲ (+0.02)

Carrarese Goals

Over 0.5 63.97% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 36.03% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 1.5 29.78% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 70.22% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 10.77% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 89.23% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.19% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.81% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Torino 43.84%
Draw 26.91%
Carrarese 29.26%
Torino
1-0 @ 10.65% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.37%
2-0 @ 7.15%
3-1 @ 4.23% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.84% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 6.11% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 43.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.29% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.29% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.19%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 26.91%
Carrarese
0-1 @ 8.3% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.77% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.56% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.47%
0-3 @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.93%
Other @ 3.02% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 29.26%