Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Virtus Entella win with a probability of 48.03%. A draw had a probability of 26.48% and a win for Carrarese had a probability of 25.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Virtus Entella win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.37%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%) , while for a Carrarese win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.