Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 38

May 25, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
0 - 1
Lecce

Guendouzi (32'), Gila (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Coulibaly (43')
Pierotti (37'), Falcone (69')
Pierotti (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Inter Milan 2-2 Lazio
Sunday, May 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Lecce

All competitions

Last Game: Lecce 1-0 Torino
Sunday, May 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 68.27%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 12.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.43%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Lecce
68.27% ( 0.12)	19.45% ( -0.05)	12.27% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 45.78% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.34% (

0.02)

46.65% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.08% (

0.02)

68.92% (

-0.02)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.38% (

0.04)

12.62% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.26% (

0.09)

38.73% (

-0.09)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.39% (

-0.11)

47.6% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.06% (

-0.08)

82.94% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Lazio 68.26%

Lecce 12.27%

Draw 19.45%

Lazio	Draw	Lecce
2-0 @ 12.86% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 12.43% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.59% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.41% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.41% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0) Other @ 2.91% Total : 68.26%	1-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.67% Total : 19.45%	0-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 12.27%