Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 40.47%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 32.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.