Serie A Gameweek 35
May 3, 2025 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
  • Nikola Krstovic 66' yellowcard
  • Tete Morente 82' yellowcard
  • goal Giacomo Raspadori 24'

Lecce vs Napoli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions
Last game
Apr 27, 2025 7.45pm
Atalanta 1 - 1 Lecce
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Nikola Krstovic

Napoli

All competitions
Last game
Apr 27, 2025 7.45pm
Napoli 2 - 0 Torino
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Romelu Lukaku

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 65.95%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 13.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.44%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Napoli in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Napoli.

Result

Lecce 13.65% (-0.25)
Draw 20.4% (-0.45)
Napoli 65.95% (+0.69)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.69% (+0.73)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.44% (+1.34)
Under 2.5 47.56% (-1.33)
Over 3.5 30.24% (+1.23)
Under 3.5 69.76% (-1.22)
Over 4.5 14.83% (+0.84)
Under 4.5 85.16% (-0.84)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5 54.03% (+0.46)
Under 0.5 45.97% (-0.45)
Over 1.5 18.3% (+0.36)
Under 1.5 81.7% (-0.35)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5 86.43% (+0.63)
Under 0.5 13.57% (-0.63)
Over 1.5 59.32% (+1.25)
Under 1.5 40.68% (-1.24)

Score analysis

Lecce 13.65%
Draw 20.4%
Napoli 65.95%
Lecce
1-0 @ 4.85% (-0.21)
2-1 @ 3.76% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 1.88% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 13.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.68% (-0.19)
0-0 @ 6.24% (-0.36)
2-2 @ 3.76% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 20.4%
Napoli
0-1 @ 12.46% (-0.40)
0-2 @ 12.44% (-0.12)
1-2 @ 9.67% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 8.28% (+0.12)
1-3 @ 6.44% (+0.17)
0-4 @ 4.14% (+0.15)
1-4 @ 3.21% (+0.16)
2-3 @ 2.5% (+0.10)
0-5 @ 1.65% (+0.10)
1-5 @ 1.28% (+0.09)
2-4 @ 1.25% (+0.08)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 65.95%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 9
Oct 26, 2024 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
  • Cyril Ngonge 19' yellowcard
  • Giovanni Di Lorenzo 51' yellowcard
  • Giovanni Di Lorenzo 73' goal
  • Ante Rebic 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Santiago Pierotti 77'
  • yellowcard Ante Rebic 90'+3'
Serie A Gameweek 38
May 26, 2024 5.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Serie A Gameweek 7
Sep 30, 2023 2.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
  • Antonino Gallo 36' yellowcard
  • Ylber Ramadani 57' yellowcard
  • Roberto D'Aversa 67' yellowcard
  • Joan Gonzalez 81' yellowcard
  • goal Leo Skiri Oestigaard 16'
  • yellowcard Giovanni Simeone 17'
  • yellowcard Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 33'
  • goal Victor Osimhen 51'
  • goal Gianluca Gaetano 88'
  • goal Matteo Politano 90'+4'
Serie A Gameweek 29
Apr 7, 2023 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
  • Federico Di Francesco 52' goal
  • goal Giovanni Di Lorenzo 18'
  • goal Antonino Gallo 64' (OG)
Serie A Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio San Paolo, Napoli
  • Eljif Elmas 27' goal
  • goal Lorenzo Colombo 31'
Serie A Gameweek 23
Feb 9, 2020 2.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio San Paolo
  • Kalidou Koulibaly 37' yellowcard
  • Arkadiusz Milik 48' goal
  • Piotr Zielinski 57' yellowcard
  • Arkadiusz Milik 73' yellowcard
  • Mario Rui 80' yellowcard
  • Diego Demme 84' yellowcard
  • Jose Callejon 90' goal
  • goal Gianluca Lapadula 29'
  • goal Gianluca Lapadula 61'
  • yellowcard Andrea Rispoli 66'
  • yellowcard Mauro Vigorito 78'
  • goal Marco Mancosu 82'
  • yellowcard Jacopo Petriccione 85'