Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 65.95%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 13.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.44%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Napoli in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Napoli.