Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 37.15%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Lecce |
| 37.15% ( | 27.73% ( | 35.12% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.59% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.75% ( | 57.25% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.9% ( | 78.1% ( |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.34% ( | 29.66% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.29% ( | 65.71% ( |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.08% ( | 30.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.79% ( | 67.21% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Lecce |
| 1-0 @ 11.14% ( 2-1 @ 7.95% ( 2-0 @ 6.77% ( 3-1 @ 3.22% ( 3-0 @ 2.74% ( 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 4-1 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.44% Total : 37.14% | 1-1 @ 13.08% ( 0-0 @ 9.17% ( 2-2 @ 4.67% ( Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.73% | 0-1 @ 10.76% ( 1-2 @ 7.68% ( 0-2 @ 6.32% ( 1-3 @ 3% ( 0-3 @ 2.47% ( 2-3 @ 1.83% ( Other @ 3.06% Total : 35.12% |