Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (10.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Cagliari |
| 40.31% ( | 28.63% ( | 31.05% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.18% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.88% ( | 61.11% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.92% ( | 81.08% ( |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.31% ( | 29.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.26% ( | 65.74% ( |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.25% ( | 35.74% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.48% ( | 72.51% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Cagliari |
| 1-0 @ 12.88% ( 2-1 @ 8.05% ( 2-0 @ 7.83% ( 3-1 @ 3.26% ( 3-0 @ 3.17% ( 3-2 @ 1.68% ( 4-1 @ 0.99% ( 4-0 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 1.49% Total : 40.31% | 1-1 @ 13.25% ( 0-0 @ 10.61% ( 2-2 @ 4.14% ( Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.62% | 0-1 @ 10.91% ( 1-2 @ 6.82% ( 0-2 @ 5.62% ( 1-3 @ 2.34% ( 0-3 @ 1.93% ( 2-3 @ 1.42% ( Other @ 2.02% Total : 31.05% |