Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 47.39%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Juventus win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.