Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 44.45%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.