Scottish Premiership Gameweek 9
Oct 17, 2026 3.00pm
Rugby Park

Kilmarnock vs Motherwell - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 3.00pm
Rangers 3 - 1 Kilmarnock
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Greg Kiltie

Motherwell

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Oct 11, 2026 12.00pm
Motherwell 0 - 2 Celtic
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Alex Lowry

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 36.81%. A win for Motherwell has a probability of 36.74% and a draw has a probability of 26.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Motherwell win is 1-2 (8.55%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.55%).

Result

Kilmarnock 36.81% ▲ (+0.60)
Draw 26.48% ▼ (-0.02)
Motherwell 36.74% ▼ (-0.54)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.04% ▼ (-0.12)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.72% ▼ (-0.44)
Under 1.5 23.28% ▲ (+0.43)
Over 2.5 52.57% ▼ (-0.86)
Under 2.5 47.43% ▲ (+0.86)
Over 3.5 30.71% ▼ (-0.65)
Under 3.5 69.29% ▲ (+0.66)
Over 4.5 16.97% ▼ (-0.56)
Under 4.5 83.03% ▲ (+0.55)

First Half Winner

Kilmarnock 30.79% ▼ (-0.38)
Draw 40.4% ▲ (+0.97)
Motherwell 28.81% ▼ (-0.59)

Team To Score First

Kilmarnock 46% ▲ (+0.12)
No Goal 6.27% ▼ (-0.04)
Motherwell 47.73% ▼ (-0.10)

Corners

Over 8 65.06% ▲ (+0.50)
Equal 8 10.48% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 8 24.46% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 9 53.75% ▲ (+0.76)
Equal 9 11.31% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 9 34.94% ▼ (-0.50)
Over 10.5 42.56% ▲ (+0.97)
Under 10.5 57.44% ▼ (-0.97)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 1.5 38.5% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 1.5 61.5% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 2.5 15.51% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 2.5 84.49% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 3.5 5.06% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 3.5 94.94% ▲ (+0.13)

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5 71.74% ▼ (-0.60)
Under 0.5 28.26% ▲ (+0.59)
Over 1.5 38.81% ▼ (-0.81)
Under 1.5 61.19% ▲ (+0.81)
Over 2.5 15.72% ▼ (-0.80)
Under 2.5 84.28% ▲ (+0.80)
Over 3.5 5.37% ▼ (-0.39)
Under 3.5 94.63% ▲ (+0.40)

Score analysis

Kilmarnock 36.8%
Draw 26.48%
Motherwell 36.73%
Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 8.73% ▲ (+0.41)
2-1 @ 8.23% ▼ (-0.11)
2-0 @ 5.89% ▲ (+0.25)
3-1 @ 3.86% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.57% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 4.81% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 36.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.55% ▲ (+0.24)
0-0 @ 6.27% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 6.1% ▼ (-0.08)
3-3 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.25% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 26.48%
Motherwell
1-2 @ 8.55% ▲ (+0.08)
0-1 @ 8.29% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 5.73% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 3.77% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.21)
Other @ 5.12% ▼ (-0.33)
Total : 36.73%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Fir Park
  • Elijah Just 29' goal
  • Tawanda Maswanhise 45'+1' goal
  • Ibrahim Said 56' goal
  • Eythor Bjørgolfsson 60' yellowcard
  • John Koutroumbis 60' yellowcard
  • Apostolos Stamatelopoulos 71' yellowcard
  • Lukas Fadinger 82' goal
  • Rocco McColm 83' yellowcard
  • Luca Ross 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michael Schjönning-Larsen 46'
  • yellowcard Rory McKenzie 61'
  • yellowcard Jack Thomson 61'
  • yellowcard Bruce Anderson 67'
  • yellowcard Ben Brannan 90'
Scottish Premiership
Nov 22, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Nov 22, 2025 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Aug 30, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Aug 30, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 37
May 14, 2025 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Fir Park
  • Luke Armstrong 77' goal
  • Callum Slattery 83' goal
  • Luke Armstrong 86' goal
  • redcard Robbie Deas 29'
  • yellowcard David Watson 80'