Scottish Premiership Gameweek 7
Sep 19, 2026 5.45pm
Rugby Park

Kilmarnock vs Hearts - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
Aberdeen 0 - 0 Kilmarnock
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Greg Kiltie

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 3.00pm
Hearts 0 - 1 Dundee
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Josh McPake

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for Hearts has a probability of 37.19% and a draw has a probability of 25.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.7%) and 2-0 (5.57%). The likeliest Hearts win is 1-2 (8.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.36%).

Result

Kilmarnock 37.7%
Draw 25.07%
Hearts 37.19%

Both Teams to Score: 

59.88%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.88%
Under 1.5 21.12%
Over 2.5 56.49%
Under 2.5 43.51%
Over 3.5 33.88%
Under 3.5 66.12%
Over 4.5 19%
Under 4.5 81%

First Half Winner

Kilmarnock 29.62%
Draw 40.88%
Hearts 29.5%

Team To Score First

Kilmarnock 47.21%
No Goal 5.55%
Hearts 47.24%

Corners

Over 8 65.87%
Equal 8 10.2%
Under 8 23.93%
Over 9 54.79%
Equal 9 11.08%
Under 9 34.13%
Over 10.5 43.73%
Under 10.5 56.27%

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 1.5 41.1%
Under 1.5 58.9%
Over 2.5 17.18%
Under 2.5 82.82%
Over 3.5 5.73%
Under 3.5 94.27%

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 72.91%
Under 0.5 27.09%
Over 1.5 40.68%
Under 1.5 59.32%
Over 2.5 17.04%
Under 2.5 82.96%
Over 3.5 5.92%
Under 3.5 94.08%

Score analysis

Kilmarnock 37.7%
Draw 25.08%
Hearts 37.2%
Kilmarnock
2-1 @ 8.83%
1-0 @ 7.7%
2-0 @ 5.57%
3-1 @ 4.19%
3-2 @ 3.16%
3-0 @ 2.68%
Other @ 5.57%
Total : 37.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.36%
2-2 @ 6.59%
0-0 @ 5.55%
3-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.08%
Hearts
1-2 @ 8.44%
0-1 @ 7.85%
0-2 @ 5.45%
1-3 @ 4.1%
2-3 @ 2.93%
0-3 @ 2.67%
Other @ 5.76%
Total : 37.2%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 30
Mar 14, 2026 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Rugby Park
  • Michael Schjönning-Larsen 17' goal
  • Tom Lowery 65' yellowcard
  • Dominic Thompson 70' yellowcard
  • Rory McKenzie 70' yellowcard
  • Marley Watkins 83' yellowcard
  • Jack Thomson 83' yellowcard
  • Lewis Mayo 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Oisin McEntee 35'
  • yellowcard Islam Chesnokov 46'
  • yellowcard Jordi Altena 56'
  • yellowcard Sabah Kerjota 81'
  • yellowcard Frankie Kent 87'
  • yellowcard Elton Kabangu 87'
  • yellowcard Elton Kabangu 88'
  • yellowcard Frankie Kent 88'
  • yellowcard Frankie Kent 89'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 3, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Lawrence Shankland 49' goal
  • Tómas Bent Magnússon 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robbie Deas 2'
  • yellowcard Robbie Deas 3'
  • goal Bruce Anderson 90'
  • yellowcard James Brown 90'+6'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 3, 2025 7.45pm
Scottish Premiership
Oct 18, 2025 5.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Oct 18, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 38
May 18, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Rugby Park
  • Liam Donnelly 40' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adam Forrester 19'
  • redcard Yan Dhanda 38'
  • goal Stephen Kingsley 89'