Scottish Premiership Gameweek 3
Sep 15, 2026 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Easter Road Stadium
  • yellowcard Tyreece John-Jules 31'
  • goal George Stanger 40'
  • yellowcard Djenairo Daniels  78'
  • redcard Djenairo Daniels  90'+2'

Hibernian vs Kilmarnock - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hibernian

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 3.00pm
St Johnstone 2 - 1 Hibernian
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Martin Boyle

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
Aberdeen 0 - 0 Kilmarnock
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Greg Kiltie

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 51.08%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 22.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 1-2 (6.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result

Hibernian 51.08% ▼ (-0.29)
Draw 22.91% ▲ (+0.74)
Kilmarnock 26.03% ▼ (-0.43)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.61% ▼ (-2.21)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.55% ▼ (-1.66)
Under 1.5 19.45% ▲ (+1.65)
Over 2.5 58.96% ▼ (-3.01)
Under 2.5 41.04% ▲ (+3.01)
Over 3.5 36.47% ▼ (-3.32)
Under 3.5 63.53% ▲ (+3.32)
Over 4.5 22.16% ▼ (-2.88)
Under 4.5 77.84% ▲ (+2.89)

First Half Winner

Hibernian 35.35% ▲ (+1.08)
Draw 40.29% ▼ (-0.75)
Kilmarnock 24.36% ▼ (-0.34)

Team To Score First

Hibernian 55.28% ▼ (-1.66)
No Goal 5.02% ▲ (+0.41)
Kilmarnock 39.7% ▲ (+1.25)

Corners

Over 8 65.85% ▲ (+0.36)
Equal 8 10.46% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 8 23.69% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 9 54.47% ▲ (+0.58)
Equal 9 11.38% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 9 34.15% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 10.5 43.13% ▲ (+0.73)
Under 10.5 56.87% ▼ (-0.73)

Hibernian Goals

Over 1.5 52.35% ▼ (-1.58)
Under 1.5 47.65% ▲ (+1.58)
Over 2.5 26.95% ▼ (-1.74)
Under 2.5 73.05% ▲ (+1.74)
Over 3.5 11.55% ▼ (-1.10)
Under 3.5 88.45% ▲ (+1.11)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 62.63% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 0.5 37.37% ▲ (+0.40)
Over 1.5 31.2% ▼ (-1.67)
Under 1.5 68.8% ▲ (+1.68)
Over 2.5 11.67% ▼ (-1.72)
Under 2.5 88.33% ▲ (+1.71)
Over 3.5 3.59% ▼ (-1.08)
Under 3.5 96.41% ▲ (+1.08)

Score analysis

Hibernian 51.09%
Draw 22.91%
Kilmarnock 26.03%
Hibernian
2-1 @ 9.55% ▲ (+0.22)
1-0 @ 8.67% ▲ (+0.69)
2-0 @ 7.59% ▲ (+0.30)
3-1 @ 5.74% ▼ (-0.18)
3-0 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 3.42% ▼ (-0.32)
Other @ 11.32% ▼ (-1.05)
Total : 51.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.35% ▲ (+0.68)
2-2 @ 5.87% ▼ (-0.12)
0-0 @ 5.02% ▲ (+0.41)
3-3 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.20)
Other @ 0.23% ▼ (-0.06)
Total : 22.91%
Kilmarnock
1-2 @ 6.59% ▲ (+0.09)
0-1 @ 5.79% ▲ (+0.58)
0-2 @ 3.65% ▲ (+0.38)
1-3 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.14)
2-3 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.24)
0-3 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.36% ▼ (-1.03)
Total : 26.03%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Apr 4, 2026 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Easter Road Stadium
  • Owen Elding 1' goal
  • Felix Passlack 12' goal
  • Ante Suto 64' yellowcard
  • Joe Newell 64' yellowcard
  • Kai Andrews 73' yellowcard
  • Josh Campbell 88' yellowcard
  • Martin Boyle 88' yellowcard
  • Ante Suto 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard David Watson 62'
  • yellowcard Marley Watkins 62'
  • yellowcard Dominic Thompson 71'
  • yellowcard Jack Thomson 81'
  • yellowcard Bruce Anderson 81'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 21
Jan 3, 2026 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Rugby Park
  • Jack Thomson 46' yellowcard
  • Tyreece John-Jules 57' goal
  • Michael Schjönning-Larsen 61' yellowcard
  • Marley Watkins 73' yellowcard
  • Scott Tiffoney 85' yellowcard
  • Marcus Dackers 85' yellowcard
  • goal Élie Youan 5'
  • yellowcard Chris Cadden 34'
  • yellowcard Jordan Obita 52'
  • yellowcard Zach Mitchell 52'
  • goal Élie Youan 71'
  • yellowcard Kieron Bowie 73'
  • yellowcard Rudi Molotnikov 73'
  • yellowcard Jamie McGrath 90'+1'
Scottish Premiership
Jan 3, 2026 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Aug 10, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Aug 9, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 30
Mar 15, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Rugby Park
  • Robbie Deas 30' yellowcard
  • Corrie Ndaba 51' yellowcard
  • Fraser Murray 90'+2' goal
  • goal Martin Boyle 25'