Scottish Premiership Gameweek 3
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Easter Road Stadium

Hibernian vs Kilmarnock - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hibernian

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 4.00pm
Rangers 1 - 2 Hibernian

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 1.30pm
Kilmarnock 1 - 5 Celtic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 54.07%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 23.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 1-2 (6.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result

Hibernian 54.07% (-0.04)
Draw 22.89%
Kilmarnock 23.07%

Both Teams to Score: 

57.09% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.09%
Under 1.5 20.91%
Over 2.5 56.9%
Under 2.5 43.1%
Over 3.5 33.97% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 66.03% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 20.23%
Under 4.5 79.77%

First Half Winner

Hibernian 41.19%
Draw 39.05%
Kilmarnock 19.76%

Team To Score First

Hibernian 62.23%
No Goal 5.44%
Kilmarnock 32.33%

Corners

Over 8 60.29%
Equal 8 10.96%
Under 8 28.75%
Over 9 48.91%
Equal 9 11.39%
Under 9 39.71%
Over 10.5 38.03%
Under 10.5 61.97%

Hibernian Goals

Over 1.5 53.15% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 46.85% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 26.83%
Under 2.5 73.17%
Over 3.5 10.62% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 89.38% (+0.01)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 60.42%
Under 0.5 39.58%
Over 1.5 27.9% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 72.1% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 9.58% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 90.42% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.84%
Under 3.5 97.16%

Score analysis

Hibernian 54.07%
Draw 22.9%
Kilmarnock 23.08%
Hibernian
2-1 @ 10.26%
1-0 @ 9.78% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.53% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.95% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.36% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.67%
Other @ 10.52% (-0.01)
Total : 54.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.57%
2-2 @ 5.56%
0-0 @ 5.44%
3-3 @ 1.23% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 22.9%
Kilmarnock
1-2 @ 6.02% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.74% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.07% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.25%
2-3 @ 1.97%
0-3 @ 1.29% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 23.08%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Apr 4, 2026 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Easter Road Stadium
  • Owen Elding 1' goal
  • Felix Passlack 12' goal
  • Ante Suto 64' yellowcard
  • Joe Newell 64' yellowcard
  • Kai Andrews 73' yellowcard
  • Josh Campbell 88' yellowcard
  • Martin Boyle 88' yellowcard
  • Ante Suto 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard David Watson 62'
  • yellowcard Marley Watkins 62'
  • yellowcard Dominic Thompson 71'
  • yellowcard Jack Thomson 81'
  • yellowcard Bruce Anderson 81'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 21
Jan 3, 2026 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Rugby Park
  • Jack Thomson 46' yellowcard
  • Tyreece John-Jules 57' goal
  • Michael Schjönning-Larsen 61' yellowcard
  • Marley Watkins 73' yellowcard
  • Scott Tiffoney 85' yellowcard
  • Marcus Dackers 85' yellowcard
  • goal Élie Youan 5'
  • yellowcard Chris Cadden 34'
  • yellowcard Jordan Obita 52'
  • yellowcard Zach Mitchell 52'
  • goal Élie Youan 71'
  • yellowcard Kieron Bowie 73'
  • yellowcard Rudi Molotnikov 73'
  • yellowcard Jamie McGrath 90'+1'
Scottish Premiership
Jan 3, 2026 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Aug 10, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Aug 9, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 30
Mar 15, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Rugby Park
  • Robbie Deas 30' yellowcard
  • Corrie Ndaba 51' yellowcard
  • Fraser Murray 90'+2' goal
  • goal Martin Boyle 25'