Scottish Premiership Gameweek 5
Sep 3, 2026 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Easter Road Stadium
  • Jack Iredale 45' yellowcard
  • Adam Mayor 51' goal
  • Jack Iredale 62' redcard
  • Grant Hanley 85' yellowcard
  • goal James Wilson 13'
  • goal Laurent Mendy 43'
  • goal Josh McPake 66'

Hibernian vs Hearts - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hibernian

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 3.00pm
Dundee 1 - 2 Hibernian
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Callum Wright

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Hearts 2 - 1 St Johnstone
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Josh McPake

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 44.97%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Hearts win was 1-2 (7.51%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result

Hibernian 44.97% ▼ (-0.11)
Draw 24.29% ▲ (+0.04)
Hearts 30.78% ▲ (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.98%

Goals

Over 1.5 79.11% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 20.89% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 56.36%
Under 2.5 43.64%
Over 3.5 33.22% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 66.78% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 18.93% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 81.07% ▲ (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Hibernian 35.6% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 40.64%
Hearts 23.76% ▲ (+0.05)

Team To Score First

Hibernian 56.88% ▼ (-0.05)
No Goal 5.45% ▲ (+0.03)
Hearts 37.67% ▲ (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 67.14%
Equal 8 9.99% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 22.86% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 9 56.18% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 9 10.96% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 9 32.85% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 10.5 45.13% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 10.5 54.87% ▲ (+0.01)

Hibernian Goals

Over 1.5 46.48% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 53.52% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 20.91% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 79.09% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 7.64% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 92.36% ▲ (+0.05)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 67.57% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 0.5 32.43% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 1.5 34.83% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 1.5 65.17% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 2.5 13.36% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 86.64% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 4.15% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 95.85% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Hibernian 44.98%
Draw 24.28%
Hearts 30.78%
Hibernian
2-1 @ 9.76%
1-0 @ 8.71% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.95% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.92% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.8% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 7.56% ▼ (-0.06)
Total : 44.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.29% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.19%
0-0 @ 5.45% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.08% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 24.28%
Hearts
1-2 @ 7.51% ▲ (+0.03)
0-1 @ 6.77% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.49% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 4.07% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 30.78%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 34
Apr 26, 2026 4.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Easter Road Stadium
  • Martin Boyle 7' goal
  • Jordan Smith 15' yellowcard
  • Kanayo Megwa 50' yellowcard
  • Joe Newell 64' yellowcard
  • Ante Suto 64' yellowcard
  • Josh Campbell 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sabah Kerjota 46'
  • yellowcard Alexandros Kyziridis 58'
  • yellowcard Blair Spittal 58'
  • goal Warren O'Hora 65' (OG)
  • goal Blair Spittal 86'
  • yellowcard Jamie McCart 90'
  • yellowcard Islam Chesnokov 90'+3'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 26
Feb 10, 2026 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Jordi Altena 76' yellowcard
  • Tómas Bent Magnússon 76' yellowcard
  • Rogers Mato 87' yellowcard
  • Ageu 87' yellowcard
  • Tómas Bent Magnússon 88' goal
  • Jamie McCart 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jamie McGrath 60'
  • yellowcard Ante Suto 60'
  • yellowcard Elie Youan 73'
  • yellowcard Élie Youan 73'
  • yellowcard Warren O'Hora 79'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 27, 2025 12.30pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Jamie McGrath 3' goal
  • Josh Campbell 45' goal
  • Kieron Bowie 48' goal
  • Josh Mulligan 56' yellowcard
  • goal Lawrence Shankland 75'
  • goal Cameron Devlin 89'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 27, 2025 12.30pm
Scottish Premiership
Oct 4, 2025 5.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Oct 4, 2025 3.00pm