Scottish Premiership Gameweek 5
Sep 3, 2026 7.45pm
Easter Road Stadium

Hibernian vs Hearts - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hibernian

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 3.00pm
Dundee 1 - 2 Hibernian
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Callum Wright

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Hearts 2 - 1 St Johnstone
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Oisin McEntee

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hibernian win with a probability of 45.08%. A win for Hearts has a probability of 30.64% and a draw has a probability of 24.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Hearts win is 1-2 (7.48%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.3%).

Result

Hibernian 45.08% (+0.09)
Draw 24.25% (+0.04)
Hearts 30.64% (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.98% (-0.29)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.09% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 20.91% (+0.22)
Over 2.5 56.36% (-0.40)
Under 2.5 43.64% (+0.40)
Over 3.5 33.25% (-0.32)
Under 3.5 66.75% (+0.35)
Over 4.5 18.94% (-0.25)
Under 4.5 81.06% (+0.25)

First Half Winner

Hibernian 35.64% (-0.04)
Draw 40.64%
Hearts 23.72% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Hibernian 56.93% (-0.22)
No Goal 5.43% (+0.09)
Hearts 37.64% (+0.15)

Corners

Over 8 67.14% (-0.79)
Equal 8 9.98% (+0.05)
Under 8 22.88% (+0.74)
Over 9 56.19% (-0.75)
Equal 9 10.95% (-0.04)
Under 9 32.86% (+0.79)
Over 10.5 45.14% (-0.68)
Under 10.5 54.86% (+0.68)

Hibernian Goals

Over 1.5 46.56% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 53.44% (+0.12)
Over 2.5 20.98% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 79.02% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 7.68% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 92.32% (+0.06)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 67.44% (-0.19)
Under 0.5 32.56% (+0.18)
Over 1.5 34.7% (-0.30)
Under 1.5 65.3% (+0.30)
Over 2.5 13.28% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 86.72% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 4.12% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 95.88% (+0.10)

Score analysis

Hibernian 45.08%
Draw 24.25%
Hearts 30.63%
Hibernian
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 8.7% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 6.97% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 4.94% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.81% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.01)
Other @ 7.61% (-0.05)
Total : 45.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.3% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 6.19% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 5.43% (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.07% (-0.01)
Total : 24.25%
Hearts
1-2 @ 7.48% (-0.03)
0-1 @ 6.74% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 4.46% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.18% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.66% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.06% (-0.03)
Other @ 4.05% (-0.09)
Total : 30.63%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 34
Apr 26, 2026 4.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Easter Road Stadium
  • Martin Boyle 7' goal
  • Jordan Smith 15' yellowcard
  • Kanayo Megwa 50' yellowcard
  • Joe Newell 64' yellowcard
  • Ante Suto 64' yellowcard
  • Josh Campbell 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sabah Kerjota 46'
  • yellowcard Alexandros Kyziridis 58'
  • yellowcard Blair Spittal 58'
  • goal Warren O'Hora 65' (OG)
  • goal Blair Spittal 86'
  • yellowcard Jamie McCart 90'
  • yellowcard Islam Chesnokov 90'+3'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 26
Feb 10, 2026 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Jordi Altena 76' yellowcard
  • Tómas Bent Magnússon 76' yellowcard
  • Rogers Mato 87' yellowcard
  • Ageu 87' yellowcard
  • Tómas Bent Magnússon 88' goal
  • Jamie McCart 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jamie McGrath 60'
  • yellowcard Ante Suto 60'
  • yellowcard Elie Youan 73'
  • yellowcard Élie Youan 73'
  • yellowcard Warren O'Hora 79'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 27, 2025 12.30pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Jamie McGrath 3' goal
  • Josh Campbell 45' goal
  • Kieron Bowie 48' goal
  • Josh Mulligan 56' yellowcard
  • goal Lawrence Shankland 75'
  • goal Cameron Devlin 89'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 27, 2025 12.30pm
Scottish Premiership
Oct 4, 2025 5.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Oct 4, 2025 3.00pm