Scottish League Cup
Aug 16, 2026 2.00pm
Tynecastle Park

Hearts vs Inverness Caledonian Thistle - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hearts win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle has a probability of 29.91% and a draw has a probability of 25.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win is 0-1 (7.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.67%).

Result

Hearts 44.5% (-5.04)
Draw 25.59% (+0.88)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 29.91% (+4.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.48% (+1.44)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.69% (+0.60)
Under 1.5 25.31% (-0.59)
Over 2.5 51.05% (+0.56)
Under 2.5 48.95% (-0.56)
Over 3.5 29.67% (+0.50)
Under 3.5 70.28% (-0.55)
Over 4.5 17.53%
Under 4.5 82.47%

First Half Winner

Hearts 30.92% (-2.11)
Draw 44.69% (+0.26)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 24.38% (+1.83)

Team To Score First

Hearts 51.73% (-5.27)
No Goal 7.5% (-0.38)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 40.77% (+5.64)

Corners

Over 8 54.55% (+1.45)
Equal 8 11.13% (-0.19)
Under 8 34.32% (-1.26)
Over 9 43.48% (+1.51)
Equal 9 11.07% (-0.07)
Under 9 45.45% (-1.45)
Over 10.5 33.32% (+1.45)
Under 10.5 66.68% (-1.45)

Hearts Goals

Over 1.5 43.04% (-3.06)
Under 1.5 56.96% (+3.06)
Over 2.5 19.74% (-2.16)
Under 2.5 80.26% (+2.16)
Over 3.5 7.51% (-1.16)
Under 3.5 92.49% (+1.15)

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5 63.95% (+4.50)
Under 0.5 36.05% (-4.50)
Over 1.5 31.32% (+4.00)
Under 1.5 68.68% (-3.99)
Over 2.5 11.93% (+2.34)
Under 2.5 88.07% (-2.35)
Over 3.5 4.23% (+0.93)
Under 3.5 95.77% (-0.93)

Score analysis

Hearts 44.5%
Draw 25.57%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 29.91%
Hearts
1-0 @ 10.02% (-0.99)
2-1 @ 8.75% (-0.44)
2-0 @ 7.32% (-1.12)
3-1 @ 4.44% (-0.33)
3-0 @ 3.92% (-0.75)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.13)
Other @ 7.27% (-1.31)
Total : 44.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.67% (+0.53)
0-0 @ 7.5% (-0.38)
2-2 @ 5.07% (+0.36)
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.24% (+0.15)
Total : 25.57%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle
0-1 @ 7.77% (+0.74)
1-2 @ 6.88% (+0.79)
0-2 @ 4.66% (+0.63)
1-3 @ 2.61% (+0.45)
2-3 @ 2.16% (+0.32)
0-3 @ 1.84% (+0.47)
Other @ 3.99% (+0.77)
Total : 29.91%

Head to Head

Scottish League Cup
Jul 25, 2021 5.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Josh Ginnelly 6' yellowcard
  • Finlay Pollock 56' yellowcard
  • Jamie Walker 75' goal
  • redcard Michael Gardyne 88'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 26
Apr 24, 2021 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Gary Mackay-Steven 6' goal
  • Aaron McEneff 9' goal
  • Gary Mackay-Steven 31' goal
  • yellowcard David Carson 19'
  • yellowcard Sean Welsh 57'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 18
Feb 26, 2021 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Miles Storey 10' goal
  • Wallace Duffy 30' yellowcard
  • Sean Welsh 36' yellowcard
  • David Carson 52' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gervane Kastaneer 15'
  • yellowcard Stephen Kingsley 32'
  • goal Steven Naismith 36'
  • yellowcard Craig Gordon 52'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 4
Nov 7, 2020 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Peter Haring 22' yellowcard
  • Steven Naismith 47' goal
  • Andy Halliday 55' yellowcard
  • Liam Boyce 70' goal
  • yellowcard Robbie Deas 39'
  • goal Aaron Doran 86'
Scottish League Cup
Oct 6, 2020 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Jamie Walker 62' goal
Scottish Cup
Apr 13, 2019 12.15pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Hampden Park (Glasgow)
  • Uche Ikpeazu 49' goal
  • Arnaud Djoum 60' yellowcard
  • John Souttar 66' goal
  • Sean Clare 74' goal
  • yellowcard Shaun Rooney 51'