Scottish Championship Gameweek 2
Aug 8, 2026 3.00pm
Gayfield Park

Arbroath vs Inverness Caledonian Thistle - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Arbroath

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Aug 1, 2026 3.00pm
Ayr 2 - 0 Arbroath

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Aug 1, 2026 3.00pm
Inverness 0 - 0 Dunfermline

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 50.56%. A draw has a probability of 25.95% and a win for Arbroath has a probability of 23.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.95%) , while for a Arbroath win it is 1-0 (7.43%).

Result

Arbroath 23.54%
Draw 25.95%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 50.56%

Both Teams to Score: 

47.44%

Goals

Over 1.5 71.45%
Under 1.5 28.55%
Over 2.5 46.65%
Under 2.5 53.35%
Over 3.5 24.56%
Under 3.5 75.44%
Over 4.5 13.87%
Under 4.5 86.13%

First Half Winner

Arbroath 21.55% (-0.01)
Draw 42.18%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 36.27% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Arbroath 36.57%
No Goal 8.68%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 54.75%

Corners

Over 8 50.09% (+0.02)
Equal 8 12.33%
Under 8 37.58% (-0.02)
Over 9 38.26%
Equal 9 11.83%
Under 9 49.91% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 27.85%
Under 10.5 72.15%

Arbroath Goals

Over 1.5 23.85%
Under 1.5 76.15%
Over 2.5 7.51%
Under 2.5 92.49%
Over 3.5 1.95%
Under 3.5 98.05%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5 77.01%
Under 0.5 22.99%
Over 1.5 44.8%
Under 1.5 55.2%
Over 2.5 19.95%
Under 2.5 80.05%
Over 3.5 7.47%
Under 3.5 92.53%

Score analysis

Arbroath 23.54%
Draw 25.95%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 50.57%
Arbroath
1-0 @ 7.43%
2-1 @ 5.95%
2-0 @ 3.51%
3-1 @ 1.81%
3-0 @ 1.6%
3-2 @ 1.41%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 23.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.95%
0-0 @ 8.68%
2-2 @ 4.46%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.95%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle
0-1 @ 12.5%
1-2 @ 9.65%
0-2 @ 9.33%
0-3 @ 4.9%
1-3 @ 4.42%
2-3 @ 2.42%
Other @ 7.35%
Total : 50.57%

Head to Head

Scottish League One Gameweek 35
Apr 26, 2025 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
  • Keith Bray 9' goal
  • Paul Allan 26' goal
  • Matthew Strachan 37' yellowcard
  • Billy Mckay 50' goal
  • yellowcard Ryan Dow 73'
Scottish League One Gameweek 24
Feb 8, 2025 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Gayfield Park
  • Aaron Steele 25' goal
  • Andrew Winter 42' goal
  • Ryan Dow 70' goal
  • yellowcard Remi Savage 44'
  • yellowcard Charlie Gilmour 46'
Scottish League One Gameweek 17
Dec 14, 2024 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
  • Robert Thompson 18' yellowcard
  • Robert Thompson 36' redcard
  • Luis Longstaff 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Innes Murray 13'
  • goal Dylan Smith 52'
  • goal Gavin Reilly 90'+4'
Scottish League One Gameweek 9
Oct 5, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Gayfield Park
  • Keith Watson 55' yellowcard
  • Gavin Reilly 67' goal
  • 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Keith Watson 90'+3' redcard
  • yellowcard Charlie Reilly 53'
Scottish League Cup
Jul 23, 2024 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
  • yellowcard Liam Callaghan 90'+1'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 32
Apr 6, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
  • Wallace Duffy 45'+3' goal
  • Alex Samuel 80' goal
  • yellowcard Ricky Little 31'
  • yellowcard Gordon Walker 56'
  • goal Leighton McIntosh 61'
  • redcard Ricky Little 76'
  • yellowcard Mark Stowe 85'