Scottish League Cup Gameweek 5
Jul 25, 2026 3.00pm
Cappielow Park

Greenock Morton vs Inverness Caledonian Thistle - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Greenock Morton

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last game
Jul 18, 2026 3.00pm
St Johnstone 3 - 0 Morton

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last game
Jul 21, 2026 7.45pm
Inverness 1 - 0 St Johnstone

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 49.27%. A win for Greenock Morton has a probability of 26.92% and a draw has a probability of 23.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win is 1-0 (6.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.59%).

Result

Greenock Morton 26.92%
Draw 23.81%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 49.27%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.91%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.8%
Under 1.5 24.2%
Over 2.5 53.19%
Under 2.5 46.81%
Over 3.5 30.13%
Under 3.5 69.87%
Over 4.5 17.92%
Under 4.5 82.08%

First Half Winner

Greenock Morton 22.52%
Draw 41.04%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 36.45%

Team To Score First

Greenock Morton 38.32%
No Goal 6.57%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 55.11%

Corners

Over 8 59.15%
Equal 8 11.13%
Under 8 29.72%
Over 9 47.7%
Equal 9 11.45%
Under 9 40.85%
Over 10.5 36.87%
Under 10.5 63.13%

Greenock Morton Goals

Over 1.5 29.55%
Under 1.5 70.45%
Over 2.5 11.55%
Under 2.5 88.45%
Over 3.5 3.42%
Under 3.5 96.58%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5 77.63%
Under 0.5 22.37%
Over 1.5 46.9%
Under 1.5 53.1%
Over 2.5 22.47%
Under 2.5 77.53%
Over 3.5 8.85%
Under 3.5 91.15%

Score analysis

Greenock Morton 26.92%
Draw 23.81%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 49.27%
Greenock Morton
1-0 @ 6.66%
2-1 @ 6.66%
2-0 @ 3.85%
3-1 @ 2.51%
3-0 @ 2.24%
3-2 @ 1.95%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 26.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.59%
0-0 @ 6.57%
2-2 @ 4.85%
3-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 23.81%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle
0-1 @ 10.97%
1-2 @ 9.46%
0-2 @ 8.17%
1-3 @ 4.85%
0-3 @ 4.7%
2-3 @ 2.64%
Other @ 8.48%
Total : 49.27%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship Gameweek 36
May 3, 2024 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
  • Morgan Boyes 30' goal
  • Cameron Harper 56' goal
  • Sean McAllister 62' goal
  • goal Kirk Broadfoot 41'
  • yellowcard Grant Gillespie 52'
  • yellowcard Alan Power 55'
  • yellowcard Ryan Mullen 56'
  • yellowcard Robbie Muirhead 58'
  • redcard Robbie Muirhead 58'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 27
Mar 2, 2024 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Cappielow Park
  • Tyler French 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Alan Power 60' yellowcard
  • Darragh O'Connor 76' yellowcard
  • Robbie Muirhead 88' yellowcard
  • goal Billy Mckay 2'
  • goal Sean McAllister 34'
  • yellowcard James Carragher 45'
  • yellowcard Wallace Duffy 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Cammy Kerr 48'
  • yellowcard Remi Savage 88'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 18
Dec 30, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
  • yellowcard Robbie Muirhead 55'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 9
Dec 12, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Cappielow Park
  • George Oakley 20' goal
  • Robbie Muirhead 26' yellowcard
  • Cameron Blues 29' yellowcard
  • Jack Baird 80' goal
  • Ryan Mullen 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Lewis McGrattan 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Lewis McGrattan 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard David Wotherspoon 22'
  • yellowcard Nathan Shaw 83'
  • goal Adam Brooks 90'+4'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 31
Apr 1, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Grant Gillespie 69' goal
  • goal Scott Allardice 54'
  • goal David Carson 88'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 24
Feb 4, 2023 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Billy Mckay 57' goal
  • Ethan Cairns 85' goal
  • goal Calvin Miller 5'
  • goal Robbie Muirhead 80'