Scottish Premiership Gameweek 6
Sep 6, 2026 3.00pm
Tynecastle Park

Hearts vs Dundee - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Sep 3, 2026 7.45pm
Hibernian 1 - 3 Hearts
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Josh McPake

Dundee

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Sep 2, 2026 7.45pm
Dundee 1 - 1 St Johnstone
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Joe Westley

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hearts win with a probability of 55.68%. A draw has a probability of 23.55% and a win for Dundee has a probability of 20.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.02%) and 2-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.2%) , while for a Dundee win it is 0-1 (6.04%).

Result

Hearts 55.68% (-0.15)
Draw 23.55% (-0.11)
Dundee 20.77% (+0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.53% (+0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.03% (+0.27)
Under 1.5 23.97% (-0.27)
Over 2.5 52.03% (+0.43)
Under 2.5 47.97% (-0.43)
Over 3.5 29.79% (+0.65)
Under 3.5 70.21% (-0.61)
Over 4.5 17.65% (+0.55)
Under 4.5 82.35% (-0.56)

First Half Winner

Hearts 40.16% (+0.38)
Draw 41.09% (-0.44)
Dundee 18.75% (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Hearts 61.01% (-0.33)
No Goal 6.53% (-0.09)
Dundee 32.46% (+0.40)

Corners

Over 8 64.71% (-0.92)
Equal 8 10.56% (-0.25)
Under 8 24.72% (+1.15)
Over 9 53.34% (-0.51)
Equal 9 11.37% (-0.41)
Under 9 35.29% (+0.91)
Over 10.5 42.11% (-0.07)
Under 10.5 57.89% (+0.07)

Hearts Goals

Over 1.5 51.71% (+0.14)
Under 1.5 48.29% (-0.14)
Over 2.5 25.48% (+0.33)
Under 2.5 74.52% (-0.33)
Over 3.5 10.51% (+0.41)
Under 3.5 89.49% (-0.41)

Dundee Goals

Over 0.5 56.2% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 43.8% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 23.41% (+0.36)
Under 1.5 76.59% (-0.36)
Over 2.5 7.29% (+0.34)
Under 2.5 92.71% (-0.34)
Over 3.5 1.89% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 98.11% (-0.13)

Score analysis

Hearts 55.66%
Draw 23.56%
Dundee 20.77%
Hearts
1-0 @ 11.39% (-0.11)
2-1 @ 10.02% (-0.17)
2-0 @ 9.76% (-0.17)
3-0 @ 5.7% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.53% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.85% (-0.07)
Other @ 10.41% (+0.38)
Total : 55.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.2% (-0.12)
0-0 @ 6.53% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 4.84% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.1% (+0.03)
Total : 23.56%
Dundee
0-1 @ 6.04% (-0.12)
1-2 @ 5.39% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.04% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 1.78% (+0.10)
2-3 @ 1.61% (+0.10)
0-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.79% (+0.11)
Total : 20.77%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Blair Spittal 54' yellowcard
  • Lawrence Shankland 54' yellowcard
  • Beni Baningime 76' yellowcard
  • Oisin McEntee 77' goal
  • Islam Chesnokov 86' yellowcard
  • Alan Forrest 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Charlie Reilly 63'
  • yellowcard Joel Cotterill 63'
  • yellowcard Scott Wright 71'
  • yellowcard Simon Murray 72'
  • yellowcard Callum Jones 77'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 22
Jan 11, 2026 2.00pm
Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Scottish Premiership
Nov 1, 2025 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Nov 1, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 34
Apr 26, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Elton Kabangu 43' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Seb Palmer-Houlden 27'
  • goal Simon Murray 38'
  • yellowcard Trevor Carson 75'
  • yellowcard Lyall Cameron 88'
  • yellowcard Clark Robertson 90'+6'
Scottish Cup
Mar 7, 2025 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Sander Kartum 27' goal
  • Simon Murray 64' goal
  • Sander Kartum 68' goal
  • Calem Nieuwenhof 81' yellowcard
  • goal Joe Shaughnessy 51'
  • yellowcard Mohamad Sylla 56'