Scottish Premiership Gameweek 8
Oct 10, 2026 3.00pm
Ibrox Stadium

Rangers vs Kilmarnock - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rangers

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Sep 20, 2026 12.00pm
Celtic 0 - 1 Rangers
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Lawrence Shankland

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Sep 19, 2026 5.45pm
Kilmarnock 1 - 1 Hearts
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Greg Kiltie

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rangers win with a probability of 66.2%. A draw has a probability of 18.99% and a win for Kilmarnock has a probability of 14.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.92%) , while for a Kilmarnock win it is 0-1 (4.06%).

Result

Rangers 66.2% ▲ (+0.72)
Draw 18.99% ▼ (-0.37)
Kilmarnock 14.81% ▼ (-0.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.56% ▼ (-0.31)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.3% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 18.7% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 60.07% ▲ (+0.30)
Under 2.5 39.93% ▼ (-0.30)
Over 3.5 38.06% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 3.5 61.94% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 4.5 25.07% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 4.5 74.93% ▼ (-0.25)

First Half Winner

Rangers 56.47% ▲ (+0.69)
Draw 30.64% ▼ (-0.92)
Kilmarnock 12.89% ▲ (+0.25)

Team To Score First

Rangers 72.95% ▲ (+0.89)
No Goal 4.38% ▼ (-0.07)
Kilmarnock 22.67% ▼ (-0.82)

Corners

Over 8 64.75% ▲ (+0.55)
Equal 8 9.97% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 8 25.28% ▼ (-0.28)
Over 9 54.03% ▲ (+0.76)
Equal 9 10.72% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 9 35.25% ▼ (-0.55)
Over 10.5 43.4% ▲ (+0.90)
Under 10.5 56.6% ▼ (-0.90)

Rangers Goals

Over 1.5 63.01% ▲ (+0.48)
Under 1.5 36.99% ▼ (-0.48)
Over 2.5 36.63% ▲ (+0.54)
Under 2.5 63.37% ▼ (-0.54)
Over 3.5 17.75% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 3.5 82.25% ▼ (-0.24)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 49.92% ▼ (-0.51)
Under 0.5 50.08% ▲ (+0.51)
Over 1.5 20.04% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 1.5 79.96% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 2.5 5.63% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 2.5 94.37% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 3.5 1.45% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 3.5 98.55% ▲ (+0.10)

Score analysis

Rangers 66.2%
Draw 18.99%
Kilmarnock 14.81%
Rangers
2-0 @ 10.28% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 10.26% ▲ (+0.19)
2-1 @ 9.98% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 7.44% ▲ (+0.16)
3-1 @ 6.92% ▲ (+0.12)
3-2 @ 3.6% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 17.72% ▲ (+0.29)
Total : 66.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.92% ▼ (-0.23)
2-2 @ 4.74% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.38% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.03% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 18.99%
Kilmarnock
0-1 @ 4.06% ▼ (-0.12)
1-2 @ 4.05% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.06)
Total : 14.81%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 25
Feb 4, 2026 7.45pm
5
1
HT : 0 0
FT Ibrox Stadium
  • James Tavernier 5' yellowcard
  • Bojan Miovski 58' goal
  • Max Aarons 60' yellowcard
  • Ryan Don Naderi 60' yellowcard
  • Andreas Skov Olsen 60' yellowcard
  • Ryan Naderi 60' yellowcard
  • Tuur Rommens 65' yellowcard
  • Tuur Rommens 67' yellowcard
  • Andreas Skov Olsen 74' goal
  • Oliver Antman 76' yellowcard
  • Oliver Antman 89' goal
  • Mikey Moore 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Aaron Tshibola 60'
  • yellowcard Joe Hugill 63'
  • yellowcard Zac Williams 67'
  • yellowcard Zac Williams 68'
  • goal Greg Kiltie 84'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 6, 2025 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • David Watson 48' yellowcard
  • Dominic Thompson 83' yellowcard
  • goal Bojan Miovski 33'
  • yellowcard Nasser Djiga 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Bojan Miovski 45'+2'
  • goal Bojan Miovski 54'
  • goal Mikey Moore 81'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Oct 26, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Oct 25, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 28
Feb 26, 2025 8.00pm
2
4
HT : 2 1
FT Rugby Park
  • Joe Wright 11' goal
  • Bradley Lyons 14' goal
  • Kyle Magennis 18' yellowcard
  • David Watson 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ianis Hagi 18'
  • goal Vaclav Cerny 35'
  • goal Cyriel Dessers 53'
  • goal Cyriel Dessers 62'
  • yellowcard Cyriel Dessers 63'
  • yellowcard Robin Propper 72'
  • yellowcard Tom Lawrence 83'
  • goal Nedim Bajrami 85'