Scottish League One
Aug 1, 2026 3.00pm
0
5
HT : 0 2
FT Links Park
  • goal Sean McGinty 14' (OG)
  • goal Stuart McKinstry 23'
  • goal Stuart Bannigan 68'
  • goal Stephen Hendrie 70'
  • goal Stuart McKinstry 79'

Montrose vs Hamilton Academical - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Montrose

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
May 2, 2026 3.00pm
Montrose 0 - 2 Stenhousemuir

Hamilton Academical

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
May 2, 2026 3.00pm
Inverness 2 - 1 Hamilton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 37.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.36%) and 0-2 (5.68%). The likeliest Montrose win was 2-1 (8.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%).

Result

Montrose 37.41% (-0.08)
Draw 24.4% (+0.04)
Hamilton Academical 38.19% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.93% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.93% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 21.07% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 56.8% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 43.2% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 34.36% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 65.64% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 20.12% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 79.88% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Montrose 27.83% (-0.03)
Draw 39.73% (+0.03)
Hamilton Academical 32.44% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Montrose 44.67% (-0.02)
No Goal 5.94% (+0.03)
Hamilton Academical 49.39%

Corners

Over 8 59.13% (-0.06)
Equal 8 11.57%
Under 8 29.3% (+0.07)
Over 9 47.21% (-0.07)
Equal 9 11.92%
Under 9 40.87% (+0.06)
Over 10.5 35.98% (-0.06)
Under 10.5 64.02% (+0.05)

Montrose Goals

Over 1.5 40.38% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 59.62% (+0.12)
Over 2.5 17.24% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 82.76% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 6.2% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 93.8% (+0.04)

Hamilton Academical Goals

Over 0.5 72.21% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 27.79% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 41.42% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 58.58% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 18.29%
Under 2.5 81.71%
Over 3.5 6.65%
Under 3.5 93.35%

Score analysis

Montrose 37.4%
Draw 24.4%
Hamilton Academical 38.19%
Montrose
2-1 @ 8.43% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 7.76%
2-0 @ 5.53%
3-1 @ 4.09%
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.61%
Other @ 5.94% (-0.05)
Total : 37.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.91% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 5.99% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.94% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.4%
Hamilton Academical
1-2 @ 8.42%
0-1 @ 7.36% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.68% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.17% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.19% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.98%
Other @ 6.39%
Total : 38.19%

Head to Head

Scottish League One
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Links Park
  • Craig Brown 61' yellowcard
  • Ewan Loudon 61' yellowcard
  • Lewis Gibson 79' yellowcard
  • Angus Stevenson 79' yellowcard
  • Keir Bertie 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ewan Simpson 3'
  • goal Kyle MacDonald 5'
  • goal Alexander Hutton 78'
  • yellowcard Marcus Syme 86'
  • yellowcard Dominic Shiels 90'+2'
Scottish League One
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT New Douglas Park
  • Ewan Simpson 46' yellowcard
  • Ben Black 46' yellowcard
  • Lee Kilday 63' goal
  • goal Kieran Freeman 41'
  • yellowcard Craig Brown 46'
  • yellowcard 46'
  • yellowcard Lewis Gibson 75'
  • yellowcard Tommy North 75'
  • yellowcard Graham Webster 75'
  • yellowcard Aidan Quinn 84'
  • yellowcard 84'
Scottish League One
Oct 18, 2025 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League One Gameweek 1
Aug 2, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League One Gameweek 34
Apr 20, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Links Park
  • Blair Lyons 25' goal
  • goal Jamie Barjonas 24'
  • goal Reghan Tumilty 73'
Scottish League One Gameweek 22
Jan 27, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT The Hope CBD Stadium
  • Kevin O'Hara 16' goal
  • yellowcard Blair Lyons 31'
  • yellowcard Liam Callaghan 79'
  • goal Luke Graham 84'