Scottish League One Gameweek 1
Aug 1, 2026 3.00pm
Links Park

Montrose vs Hamilton Academical - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Montrose

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
May 2, 2026 3.00pm
Montrose 0 - 2 Stenhousemuir

Hamilton Academical

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
May 2, 2026 3.00pm
Inverness 2 - 1 Hamilton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for Montrose has a probability of 37.48% and a draw has a probability of 24.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.35%) and 0-2 (5.67%). The likeliest Montrose win is 2-1 (8.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.85%).

Result

Montrose 37.48% (-0.13)
Draw 24.36% (+0.67)
Hamilton Academical 38.16% (-0.55)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.98% (-0.60)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.96% (-0.38)
Under 1.5 21.04% (+0.37)
Over 2.5 56.91% (-0.80)
Under 2.5 43.09% (+0.80)
Over 3.5 34.45% (-0.71)
Under 3.5 65.55% (+0.71)
Over 4.5 20.19% (-0.55)
Under 4.5 79.81% (+0.55)

First Half Winner

Montrose 27.85% (-0.64)
Draw 39.7% (+0.75)
Hamilton Academical 32.45% (-0.11)

Team To Score First

Montrose 44.69% (-0.96)
No Goal 5.92% (+0.26)
Hamilton Academical 49.39% (+0.69)

Corners

Over 8 59.19% (-1.09)
Equal 8 11.57% (-0.08)
Under 8 29.24% (+1.15)
Over 9 47.27% (-0.90)
Equal 9 11.92% (-0.18)
Under 9 40.81% (+1.09)
Over 10.5 36.03% (-0.68)
Under 10.5 63.97% (+0.68)

Montrose Goals

Over 1.5 40.5% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 59.5% (+0.14)
Over 2.5 17.3% (-0.24)
Under 2.5 82.7% (+0.24)
Over 3.5 6.24% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 93.76% (+0.08)

Hamilton Academical Goals

Over 0.5 72.19% (-0.25)
Under 0.5 27.81% (+0.24)
Over 1.5 41.45% (-0.60)
Under 1.5 58.55% (+0.60)
Over 2.5 18.29% (-0.33)
Under 2.5 81.71% (+0.32)
Over 3.5 6.65% (-0.35)
Under 3.5 93.35% (+0.35)

Score analysis

Montrose 37.47%
Draw 24.36%
Hamilton Academical 38.16%
Montrose
2-1 @ 8.45% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.76% (+0.10)
2-0 @ 5.53% (+0.13)
3-1 @ 4.09% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.13)
3-0 @ 2.61% (-0.11)
Other @ 5.98% (-0.16)
Total : 37.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.85% (+0.34)
2-2 @ 6.02% (-0.08)
0-0 @ 5.92% (+0.26)
3-3 @ 1.31% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.26% (+0.09)
Total : 24.36%
Hamilton Academical
1-2 @ 8.42% (-0.06)
0-1 @ 7.35% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.67% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 4.15% (-0.12)
2-3 @ 3.2% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 2.98% (+0.07)
Other @ 6.39% (-0.45)
Total : 38.16%

Head to Head

Scottish League One
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Links Park
  • Craig Brown 61' yellowcard
  • Ewan Loudon 61' yellowcard
  • Lewis Gibson 79' yellowcard
  • Angus Stevenson 79' yellowcard
  • Keir Bertie 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ewan Simpson 3'
  • goal Kyle MacDonald 5'
  • goal Alexander Hutton 78'
  • yellowcard Marcus Syme 86'
  • yellowcard Dominic Shiels 90'+2'
Scottish League One
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT New Douglas Park
  • Ewan Simpson 46' yellowcard
  • Ben Black 46' yellowcard
  • Lee Kilday 63' goal
  • goal Kieran Freeman 41'
  • yellowcard Craig Brown 46'
  • yellowcard 46'
  • yellowcard Lewis Gibson 75'
  • yellowcard Tommy North 75'
  • yellowcard Graham Webster 75'
  • yellowcard Aidan Quinn 84'
  • yellowcard 84'
Scottish League One
Oct 18, 2025 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League One Gameweek 1
Aug 2, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League One Gameweek 34
Apr 20, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Links Park
  • Blair Lyons 25' goal
  • goal Jamie Barjonas 24'
  • goal Reghan Tumilty 73'
Scottish League One Gameweek 22
Jan 27, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT The Hope CBD Stadium
  • Kevin O'Hara 16' goal
  • yellowcard Blair Lyons 31'
  • yellowcard Liam Callaghan 79'
  • goal Luke Graham 84'