Scottish League Cup Gameweek 5
Jul 25, 2026 3.00pm
New Douglas Park

Hamilton Academical vs Elgin City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hamilton Academical

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last game
Jul 21, 2026 7.45pm
Kilmarnock 1 - 0 Hamilton

Elgin City

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last game
Jul 18, 2026 3.00pm
Elgin 0 - 1 Kilmarnock

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 49.01%. A win for Elgin City has a probability of 28.77% and a draw has a probability of 22.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.86%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Elgin City win is 1-2 (7.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.56%).

Result

Hamilton Academical 49.01% (-0.15)
Draw 22.18% (+0.01)
Elgin City 28.77% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.04% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.34% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 15.66% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 65.25% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 34.75% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 41.73% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 58.27% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 26.13% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 73.87% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Hamilton Academical 39.25% (-0.03)
Draw 37.73% (+0.08)
Elgin City 23.02% (-0.06)

Team To Score First

Hamilton Academical 58.7% (-0.03)
No Goal 3.86% (-0.02)
Elgin City 37.44% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 65.84% (+0.08)
Equal 8 11.07%
Under 8 23.09% (-0.08)
Over 9 53.73% (+0.06)
Equal 9 12.11%
Under 9 34.16% (-0.08)
Over 10.5 41.71% (+0.06)
Under 10.5 58.29% (-0.06)

Hamilton Academical Goals

Over 1.5 53.7% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 46.3% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 28.99% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 71.01% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 11.83% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 88.17% (+0.07)

Elgin City Goals

Over 0.5 66.79% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 33.21% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 36.68% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 63.32% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 15.97% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 84.03% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 5.81% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 94.19% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Hamilton Academical 49.03%
Draw 22.17%
Elgin City 28.77%
Hamilton Academical
2-1 @ 9.7% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 6.86%
2-0 @ 6.1% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.94%
3-0 @ 5.02% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 4.07%
Other @ 11.34% (-0.07)
Total : 49.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.56%
2-2 @ 6.13%
0-0 @ 3.86% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 2.13%
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 22.17%
Elgin City
1-2 @ 7.09% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 4.91% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.54% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.42% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.78%
0-3 @ 1.71%
Other @ 5.32% (+0.04)
Total : 28.77%