Scottish Championship Gameweek 6
Sep 12, 2026 3.00pm
Somerset Park

Ayr United vs Inverness Caledonian Thistle - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
Partick 0 - 0 Ayr
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Ben Summers

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
Inverness 0 - 0 Raith Rovers
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Alfie Bavidge

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ayr United win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle has a probability of 28.87% and a draw has a probability of 28.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ayr United win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win is 0-1 (8.48%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.63%).

Result

Ayr United 42.36% (+0.01)
Draw 28.82% (+0.02)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 28.87% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.45% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.1% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 27.9% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 46.22% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 53.78% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 25.08% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 74.92% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 13.62% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 86.38% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Ayr United 33.53% (-0.01)
Draw 42.04% (-0.03)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 24.43% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Ayr United 51.17% (-0.02)
No Goal 8.8%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 40.03% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 45.5% (-0.11)
Equal 8 12.01% (+0.01)
Under 8 42.49% (+0.11)
Over 9 34.38% (-0.11)
Equal 9 11.12%
Under 9 54.5% (+0.11)
Over 10.5 24.9% (-0.11)
Under 10.5 75.1% (+0.10)

Ayr United Goals

Over 1.5 39.75% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 60.25% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 16.51% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 83.49% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 5.57%
Under 3.5 94.43%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5 64.12% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 35.88% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 29.23% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 70.77% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 10.06% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 89.94% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.18%
Under 3.5 96.82%

Score analysis

Ayr United 42.36%
Draw 28.81%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 28.86%
Ayr United
1-0 @ 10.65% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.92% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 7.54% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.86%
3-0 @ 3.61% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.47% (+0.02)
Other @ 5.31% (+0.01)
Total : 42.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.63% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 8.8%
2-2 @ 5.12%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.26% (-0.02)
Total : 28.81%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle
0-1 @ 8.48% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.85% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 4.73% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.47%
0-3 @ 1.75% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.66% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.92% (+0.01)
Total : 28.86%

Head to Head

Scottish Challenge Cup
Feb 24, 2026 7.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Somerset Park
  • George Finney 34' goal
  • Liam Dick 46' yellowcard
  • Jamie Hislop 74' yellowcard
  • Shaun Want 80' yellowcard
  • Jack Simpson 85' yellowcard
  • goal Jordan Alonge 27'
  • yellowcard Alfie Bavidge 72'
  • yellowcard Liam Sole 72'
  • yellowcard Alfie Stewart 79'
  • yellowcard Alfie Stewart 80'
  • goal Jordan Alonge 82'
  • yellowcard Chanka Zimba 90'
  • yellowcard 90'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 29
Mar 16, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
  • James Carragher 11' yellowcard
  • Billy Mckay 45'+3' goal
  • Aribim Pepple 87' yellowcard
  • goal George Stanger 5'
  • goal Fraser Bryden 61'
  • yellowcard Jamie Murphy 68'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 20
Jan 6, 2024 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Somerset Park
  • Logan Chalmers 54' yellowcard
  • Logan Chalmers 65' goal
  • Jack Young 85' yellowcard
  • goal Billy Mckay 29'
  • yellowcard Wallace Duffy 38'
  • yellowcard Sean Welsh 50'
  • goal Morgan Boyes 55'
  • goal Morgan Boyes 63'
  • yellowcard Nathan Shaw 80'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 13
Nov 11, 2023 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
  • Max Anderson 27' yellowcard
  • David Wotherspoon 32' goal
  • David Wotherspoon 43' goal
  • Billy Mckay 45'+3' goal
  • Adam Brooks 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Jamie Murphy 61'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Somerset Park
  • Francis Amartey 8' goal
  • Paul Smith 74' yellowcard
  • Nick McAllister 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Zak Delaney 28'
  • yellowcard Luis Longstaff 45'+1'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 36
May 5, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Nathan Shaw 81' goal
  • goal Josh Mullin 35'
  • goal Mark McKenzie 88'