Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm

Ochilview Park

Stenhousemuir vs Inverness Caledonian Thistle - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Stenhousemuir

All competitions

W
W
W
D
D
D

Scottish Championship

W
W
D

Last game

Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm

Queen's Park 0 - 2 Stenhousemuir

Goals scored

5

Top scorer

Lewis Hodgkiss

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions

D
L
D
D
W
W

Scottish Championship

D
D
D
W
D
L

Last game

Aug 21, 2026 7.30pm

Inverness 1 - 1 Partick

Goals scored

1

Top scorer

Alfie Bavidge

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Stenhousemuir has a probability of 30.1% and a draw has a probability of 28.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win is 1-0 (9.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.11%).

Result

Stenhousemuir 30.1% ▼ (-0.01)

Draw 28.31%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 41.54% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score:

47.47%

Goals

Over 1.5 68.27% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 1.5 31.73% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 2.5 43.2% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 2.5 56.8% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 3.5 22.2%

Under 3.5 77.8%

Over 4.5 11.62%

Under 4.5 88.38%

First Half Winner

Stenhousemuir 22.76%

Draw 45.78%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 31.46%

Team To Score First

Stenhousemuir 38.34% ▼ (-0.01)

No Goal 9.97%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 51.69% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 47.88%

Equal 8 11.42%

Under 8 40.7%

Over 9 37.1%

Equal 9 10.79%

Under 9 52.12%

Over 10.5 27.68%

Under 10.5 72.32%

Stenhousemuir Goals

Over 1.5 27.77%

Under 1.5 72.23%

Over 2.5 9.47%

Under 2.5 90.53%

Over 3.5 2.63%

Under 3.5 97.37%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5 71.06% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 0.5 28.94% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 1.5 36.33% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 1.5 63.67% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 2.5 14.72%

Under 2.5 85.28%

Over 3.5 4.65%

Under 3.5 95.35%

Score analysis

Stenhousemuir 30.1%

Draw 28.3%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 41.55%

Stenhousemuir

1-0 @ 9.59%

2-1 @ 7.04%

2-0 @ 4.8%

3-1 @ 2.46%

3-0 @ 1.99%

3-2 @ 1.68%

Other @ 2.54%

Total : 30.1%

Draw

1-1 @ 13.11%

0-0 @ 9.97%

2-2 @ 4.42%

Other @ 0.09%

Total : 28.3%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

0-1 @ 12.12%

1-2 @ 8.35% ▲ (+0.01)

0-2 @ 7.16%

1-3 @ 3.7%

0-3 @ 3.62%

2-3 @ 2.04%

Other @ 4.56%

Total : 41.55%

Head to Head

Apr 11, 2026 5.30pm

1

1

HT : 0 1

FT Ochilview Park

Euan O'Reilly 46'
Dale Carrick 66'
Olly Whyte 78'
Scott McGill 78'
Leyton Grant 78'
Finlay Gray 78'
Matthew Aitken 81'
Matthew Aitken 82'

Calum MacLeod 15'
Liam Sole 88'
Ben Brannan 90'

Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm

1

1

HT : 2 1

FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium

19'
Alfie Bavidge 19'
George McCartney 62'
Adam Mackinnon 72'
Jordan Alonge 72'
Oscar MacIntyre 78'

Olly Whyte 6'
Ross Taylor 60'
Finlay Gray 74'

Jan 27, 2026 7.45pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium

Alfie Bavidge 57'
Chanka Zimba 66'
Alfie Bavidge 73'
Liam Sole 81'
Jordan Alonge 81'

Dale Carrick 66'
Oliver Simpson 66'
Zeke Cameron 78'
Nicky Jamieson 78'

Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Leyton Grant 39'
39'
Leyton Grant 44'
Ross Taylor 55'
Archie Graham 60'
60'
Olly Whyte 65'
Matthew Aitken 79'
Leyton Grant 84'
84'
Leyton Grant 85'

Daniel Devine 26'

Aug 16, 2025 3.00pm

1

2

HT : 0 0

FT

Apr 19, 2025 3.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT Ochilview Park

Matthew Aitken 62'
Charlie Gilmour 90'+1'

Billy Mckay 56'
Charlie Gilmour 90'+1'

Form Data

Queen's Park 0 - 2 Stenhousemuir

Stenhousemuir 1 - 0 Motherwell

Stenhousemuir 2 - 0 Morton

Raith Rovers 1 - 1 Stenhousemuir

Stenhousemuir 0 - 0 Livingston

Partick 2 - 2 Stenhousemuir

Inverness 1 - 1 Partick

Hearts 6 - 2 Inverness

Arbroath 0 - 0 Inverness

Inverness 0 - 0 Dunfermline

Morton 0 - 1 Inverness

Inverness 1 - 0 St Johnstone