Scottish Championship
Aug 8, 2026 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Ochilview Park
  • Kinlay Bilham 45' yellowcard
  • Mickey Anderson 57' goal
  • Angus Stevenson 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Laiith Fairnie 63'

Stenhousemuir vs Greenock Morton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Stenhousemuir

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Aug 1, 2026 3.00pm
Raith Rovers 1 - 1 Stenhousemuir

Greenock Morton

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Aug 1, 2026 3.00pm
Morton 0 - 1 Partick

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 61.61%. A draw had a probability of 21.63% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 16.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%) , while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result

Stenhousemuir 61.61% (-0.53)
Draw 21.63% (+0.29)
Greenock Morton 16.75% (+0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.71% (-0.37)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.36% (-0.35)
Under 1.5 24.64% (+0.36)
Over 2.5 52.4% (-0.60)
Under 2.5 47.6% (+0.60)
Over 3.5 30.84% (-0.70)
Under 3.5 69.16% (+0.69)
Over 4.5 19.61% (-0.54)
Under 4.5 80.39% (+0.55)

First Half Winner

Stenhousemuir 41.81% (+0.04)
Draw 40.04% (-0.14)
Greenock Morton 18.15% (+0.10)

Team To Score First

Stenhousemuir 58.2% (-0.08)
No Goal 6.84% (+0.14)
Greenock Morton 34.96% (-0.07)

Corners

Over 8 62.58% (-1.33)
Equal 8 11.22% (+0.07)
Under 8 26.2% (+1.27)
Over 9 50.69% (-1.25)
Equal 9 11.89% (-0.09)
Under 9 37.42% (+1.33)
Over 10.5 39.19% (-1.06)
Under 10.5 60.81% (+1.06)

Stenhousemuir Goals

Over 1.5 55.78% (-0.68)
Under 1.5 44.22% (+0.68)
Over 2.5 30.36% (-0.66)
Under 2.5 69.64% (+0.66)
Over 3.5 14.17% (-0.42)
Under 3.5 85.83% (+0.41)

Greenock Morton Goals

Over 0.5 48.97% (+0.18)
Under 0.5 51.03% (-0.18)
Over 1.5 18.32% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 81.68% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 5.37% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 94.63% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 1.28% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 98.72% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Stenhousemuir 61.61%
Draw 21.64%
Greenock Morton 16.76%
Stenhousemuir
1-0 @ 12.08% (+0.10)
2-0 @ 10.76% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 7.36% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.78% (-0.13)
3-2 @ 2.32% (-0.07)
Other @ 14% (-0.42)
Total : 61.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.83% (+0.17)
0-0 @ 6.84% (+0.14)
2-2 @ 4.07%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.64%
Greenock Morton
0-1 @ 5.73% (+0.12)
1-2 @ 4.19% (+0.10)
0-2 @ 2.37% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 1.39% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.28% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.11% (-0.02)
Total : 16.76%

Head to Head

Scottish Cup
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Ochilview Park
  • Michael Anderson 38' yellowcard
  • Nicky Jamieson 39' goal
  • Matthew Aitken 45'+1' goal
  • Euan O'Reilly 46' yellowcard
  • Gregor Buchanan 64' goal
  • Matthew Aitken 80' goal
  • Dale Carrick 84' yellowcard
  • Kelsey Ewen 84' yellowcard
  • Oliver Simpson 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eamonn Brophy 44'
  • yellowcard Michael Garrity 46'
  • yellowcard Iain Wilson 61'
  • yellowcard Nathan Shaw 71'
  • yellowcard Zak Delaney 71'
  • yellowcard Ali Crawford 71'
Scottish League Cup
Jul 15, 2025 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League Cup
Jul 21, 2018 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Ross MacLean 32' goal
  • Robert McHugh 41' goal
  • yellowcard Jesus Garcia Tena 33'
  • yellowcard Conner Duthie 40'
Scottish League One
Apr 11, 2015 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Thomas O'Ware 58' yellowcard
  • Peter MacDonald 78' goal
  • Declan McManus 87' goal
  • Stefan McCluskey 90' goal
  • goal Ross Meechan 35'
  • goal Paul McMullan 55'
Scottish League One
Jan 10, 2015 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Colin McMenamin 50' goal
  • Colin McMenamin 90' goal
  • goal Stefan McCluskey 52'
  • goal Thomas O'Ware 59'
  • goal Ross Caldwell 63'
  • yellowcard Ross Caldwell 64'
  • yellowcard Mark Russell 69'
  • yellowcard Sean Crighton 88'
Scottish League One
Nov 22, 2014 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Lee Kilday 15' goal
  • Lee Kilday 35' goal
  • Stefan McCluskey 87' goal
  • Stefan McCluskey 92' yellowcard
  • goal Sean Dickson 68'
  • yellowcard Ross McMillan 73'
  • yellowcard Sean Dickson 90'