Scottish Championship Gameweek 2
Aug 8, 2026 3.00pm
Ochilview Park

Stenhousemuir vs Greenock Morton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Stenhousemuir

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Aug 1, 2026 3.00pm
Raith Rovers 1 - 1 Stenhousemuir

Greenock Morton

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Aug 1, 2026 3.00pm
Morton 0 - 1 Partick

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 62.13%. A draw has a probability of 21.34% and a win for Greenock Morton has a probability of 16.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.66%) , while for a Greenock Morton win it is 0-1 (5.62%).

Result

Stenhousemuir 62.13% (+0.08)
Draw 21.34% (-0.06)
Greenock Morton 16.53% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.08% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.71% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 24.29% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 52.99% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 47.01% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 31.53% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 68.47% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 20.15% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 79.85% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Stenhousemuir 41.78% (+0.08)
Draw 40.17% (-0.06)
Greenock Morton 18.05% (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Stenhousemuir 58.28% (-0.01)
No Goal 6.7% (-0.01)
Greenock Morton 35.02% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 63.91% (-0.11)
Equal 8 11.16% (+0.02)
Under 8 24.93% (+0.08)
Over 9 51.94% (-0.11)
Equal 9 11.97% (+0.01)
Under 9 36.09% (+0.11)
Over 10.5 40.24% (-0.11)
Under 10.5 59.76% (+0.11)

Stenhousemuir Goals

Over 1.5 56.45% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 43.55% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 31.01% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 68.99% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 14.58% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 85.42% (-0.02)

Greenock Morton Goals

Over 0.5 48.8% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 51.2% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 18.28% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 81.72% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 5.41% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 94.59% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 1.3% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 98.7% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Stenhousemuir 62.13%
Draw 21.35%
Greenock Morton 16.53%
Stenhousemuir
1-0 @ 11.98% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 10.73%
2-1 @ 9.33% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.39% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.91% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.38%
Other @ 14.41% (+0.03)
Total : 62.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.66% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.7% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.07% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.17% (-0.01)
Total : 21.35%
Greenock Morton
0-1 @ 5.62% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 4.1% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.32% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.41%
2-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 1.13% (-0.02)
Total : 16.53%

Head to Head

Scottish Cup
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Ochilview Park
  • Michael Anderson 38' yellowcard
  • Nicky Jamieson 39' goal
  • Matthew Aitken 45'+1' goal
  • Euan O'Reilly 46' yellowcard
  • Gregor Buchanan 64' goal
  • Matthew Aitken 80' goal
  • Dale Carrick 84' yellowcard
  • Kelsey Ewen 84' yellowcard
  • Oliver Simpson 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eamonn Brophy 44'
  • yellowcard Michael Garrity 46'
  • yellowcard Iain Wilson 61'
  • yellowcard Nathan Shaw 71'
  • yellowcard Zak Delaney 71'
  • yellowcard Ali Crawford 71'
Scottish League Cup
Jul 15, 2025 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League Cup
Jul 21, 2018 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Ross MacLean 32' goal
  • Robert McHugh 41' goal
  • yellowcard Jesus Garcia Tena 33'
  • yellowcard Conner Duthie 40'
Scottish League One
Apr 11, 2015 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Thomas O'Ware 58' yellowcard
  • Peter MacDonald 78' goal
  • Declan McManus 87' goal
  • Stefan McCluskey 90' goal
  • goal Ross Meechan 35'
  • goal Paul McMullan 55'
Scottish League One
Jan 10, 2015 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Colin McMenamin 50' goal
  • Colin McMenamin 90' goal
  • goal Stefan McCluskey 52'
  • goal Thomas O'Ware 59'
  • goal Ross Caldwell 63'
  • yellowcard Ross Caldwell 64'
  • yellowcard Mark Russell 69'
  • yellowcard Sean Crighton 88'
Scottish League One
Nov 22, 2014 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Lee Kilday 15' goal
  • Lee Kilday 35' goal
  • Stefan McCluskey 87' goal
  • Stefan McCluskey 92' yellowcard
  • goal Sean Dickson 68'
  • yellowcard Ross McMillan 73'
  • yellowcard Sean Dickson 90'