Scottish Championship Gameweek 5
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Energy Check Stadium
  • Cale Loughrey 26' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Drozd 38' goal
  • Daniel O'Reilly 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luke McBeth 10'
  • yellowcard Dylan Watret 44'
  • yellowcard Kevin Holt 74'

Partick Thistle vs Ayr United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Partick Thistle

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Partick 0 - 0 Queen's Park
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Sebastian Drozd

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Ayr 1 - 1 Morton
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Ben Summers

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 65.1%. A draw has a probability of 20.99% and a win for Ayr United has a probability of 13.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.52%) and 1-0 (10.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.63%) , while for a Ayr United win it is 0-1 (4.09%).

Result

Partick Thistle 65.1% ▼ (-0.27)
Draw 20.99% ▲ (+0.07)
Ayr United 13.91% ▲ (+0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.72% ▲ (+0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.38%
Under 1.5 19.62%
Over 2.5 57.98% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 42.02% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 35.07% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 64.93% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 4.5 22.89% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 4.5 77.11% ▲ (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Partick Thistle 47.95% ▲ (+0.24)
Draw 36.45% ▼ (-0.22)
Ayr United 15.6% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Partick Thistle 65.5%
No Goal 5.4%
Ayr United 29.1%

Corners

Over 8 72.47% ▲ (+0.13)
Equal 8 9.23% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 8 18.3% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 9 61.85% ▲ (+0.14)
Equal 9 10.62% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 9 27.53% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 10.5 50.68% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 10.5 49.32% ▼ (-0.14)

Partick Thistle Goals

Over 1.5 62.22% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 37.78% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 34.78% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 2.5 65.22% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 3.5 16.01% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 3.5 83.99% ▲ (+0.15)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5 49.74% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 0.5 50.26% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 1.5 19.08% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 1.5 80.92% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 2.5 5.89% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 2.5 94.11% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 1.54% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 98.46% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Partick Thistle 65.1%
Draw 21%
Ayr United 13.91%
Partick Thistle
2-0 @ 11.14% ▼ (-0.09)
2-1 @ 10.52% ▲ (+0.06)
1-0 @ 10.14% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 7.94% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 6.42% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 15.65% ▼ (-0.16)
Total : 65.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.63% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.4%
2-2 @ 4.49% ▲ (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 21%
Ayr United
0-1 @ 4.09% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 3.79%
0-2 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 13.91%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship
Apr 4, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Somerset Park
  • Ben Summers 33' yellowcard
  • Jamie Murphy 60' yellowcard
  • Jamie Murphy 61' yellowcard
  • Jamie Murphy 77' yellowcard
  • George Finney 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cale Loughrey 46'
  • yellowcard Tsoanelo Letsosa 60'
  • yellowcard Ricco Diack 67'
  • goal Cale Loughrey 69'
  • yellowcard Luke McBeth 90'
  • yellowcard Kyle Turner 90'
Scottish Championship
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT The Energy Check Stadium
  • Logan Chalmers 12' goal
  • A. Samuel 14' goal
  • Logan Chalmers 18' yellowcard
  • Robbie Crawford 64' yellowcard
  • Scott Martin 80' yellowcard
  • Ricco Diack 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Oleksandr Shovkovskyi 45'+3'
  • goal Oleksandr Shovkovskyi 60'
  • yellowcard George Oakley 75'
  • yellowcard Liam Dick 81'
  • yellowcard Ben Summers 81'
Scottish Championship
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Scott McMann 45'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ben Stanway 51'
  • yellowcard Ben Stanway 52'
  • yellowcard Kyle Turner 90'+3'
Scottish Championship
Oct 21, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League Cup
Aug 16, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership Playoffs
May 9, 2025 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Somerset Park
  • Ben Dempsey 63' yellowcard
  • Jay Henderson 64' yellowcard
  • goal Brian Graham 6'
  • goal Brian Graham 88'
  • yellowcard Brian Graham 90'
  • yellowcard Brian Graham 90'