Scottish Championship Gameweek 5
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
The Energy Check Stadium

Partick Thistle vs Ayr United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Partick Thistle

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Partick 0 - 0 Queen's Park
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Tsoanelo Letsosa

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Ayr 1 - 1 Morton
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Ben Summers

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 65.36%. A draw has a probability of 20.92% and a win for Ayr United has a probability of 13.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.46%) and 1-0 (10.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.62%) , while for a Ayr United win it is 0-1 (4.07%).

Result

Partick Thistle 65.36% (-0.52)
Draw 20.92% (+0.36)
Ayr United 13.78% (+0.23)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.57% (+0.40)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.38% (+0.34)
Under 1.5 19.62% (-0.34)
Over 2.5 57.95% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 42.05% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 35.02% (+0.47)
Under 3.5 64.98% (-0.46)
Over 4.5 22.95% (+0.65)
Under 4.5 77.05% (-0.65)

First Half Winner

Partick Thistle 47.72% (-0.08)
Draw 36.67% (+0.04)
Ayr United 15.62% (+0.05)

Team To Score First

Partick Thistle 65.5% (-0.63)
No Goal 5.4% (+0.05)
Ayr United 29.1% (+0.59)

Corners

Over 8 72.34% (+1.58)
Equal 8 9.25% (-0.25)
Under 8 18.41% (-1.33)
Over 9 61.72% (+1.72)
Equal 9 10.63% (-0.13)
Under 9 27.66% (-1.58)
Over 10.5 50.55% (+1.71)
Under 10.5 49.45% (-1.71)

Partick Thistle Goals

Over 1.5 62.3% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 37.7% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 34.94% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 65.06% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 16.16% (+0.43)
Under 3.5 83.84% (-0.43)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5 49.45% (+0.18)
Under 0.5 50.55% (-0.18)
Over 1.5 18.89% (+0.38)
Under 1.5 81.11% (-0.38)
Over 2.5 5.79% (+0.26)
Under 2.5 94.21% (-0.27)
Over 3.5 1.51% (+0.14)
Under 3.5 98.49% (-0.14)

Score analysis

Partick Thistle 65.36%
Draw 20.92%
Ayr United 13.78%
Partick Thistle
2-0 @ 11.22% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 10.46% (-0.16)
1-0 @ 10.21% (-0.31)
3-0 @ 7.98% (-0.21)
3-1 @ 6.41% (-0.23)
3-2 @ 3.28% (+0.03)
Other @ 15.8% (+0.40)
Total : 65.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.62% (+0.19)
0-0 @ 5.4% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.43% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.11% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.36% (+0.04)
Total : 20.92%
Ayr United
0-1 @ 4.07% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 3.79% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.6% (+0.10)
2-3 @ 1.25% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.23% (+0.05)
Other @ 1.15% (+0.09)
Total : 13.78%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship
Apr 4, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Somerset Park
  • Ben Summers 33' yellowcard
  • Jamie Murphy 60' yellowcard
  • Jamie Murphy 61' yellowcard
  • Jamie Murphy 77' yellowcard
  • George Finney 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cale Loughrey 46'
  • yellowcard Tsoanelo Letsosa 60'
  • yellowcard Ricco Diack 67'
  • goal Cale Loughrey 69'
  • yellowcard Luke McBeth 90'
  • yellowcard Kyle Turner 90'
Scottish Championship
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT The Energy Check Stadium
  • Logan Chalmers 12' goal
  • A. Samuel 14' goal
  • Logan Chalmers 18' yellowcard
  • Robbie Crawford 64' yellowcard
  • Scott Martin 80' yellowcard
  • Ricco Diack 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Oleksandr Shovkovskyi 45'+3'
  • goal Oleksandr Shovkovskyi 60'
  • yellowcard George Oakley 75'
  • yellowcard Liam Dick 81'
  • yellowcard Ben Summers 81'
Scottish Championship
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Scott McMann 45'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ben Stanway 51'
  • yellowcard Ben Stanway 52'
  • yellowcard Kyle Turner 90'+3'
Scottish Championship
Oct 21, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League Cup
Aug 16, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership Playoffs
May 9, 2025 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Somerset Park
  • Ben Dempsey 63' yellowcard
  • Jay Henderson 64' yellowcard
  • goal Brian Graham 6'
  • goal Brian Graham 88'
  • yellowcard Brian Graham 90'
  • yellowcard Brian Graham 90'