Scottish Championship Gameweek 4
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Somerset Park

Ayr United vs Greenock Morton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Raith Rovers 2 - 0 Ayr
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Ben Summers

Greenock Morton

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Morton 1 - 2 Arbroath
Goals scored
1
Top scorer
Dean Black

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ayr United win with a probability of 72.06%. A draw has a probability of 17.99% and a win for Greenock Morton has a probability of 9.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ayr United win is 2-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (13.12%) and 3-0 (10.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.24%) , while for a Greenock Morton win it is 0-1 (3.73%).

Result

Ayr United 72.06% (+0.02)
Draw 17.99% (+0.02)
Greenock Morton 9.95% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.17% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.01% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 22.99% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 53.78% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 46.22% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 30.93% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 69.07% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 21.42% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 78.58% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Ayr United 51.39% (+0.11)
Draw 35.98% (-0.10)
Greenock Morton 12.63% (-0.03)

Team To Score First

Ayr United 68.75% (-0.04)
No Goal 6.14% (+0.01)
Greenock Morton 25.11% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 59.56% (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.53% (-0.05)
Under 8 28.91%
Over 9 47.64% (+0.08)
Equal 9 11.93% (-0.05)
Under 9 40.44% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 36.36% (+0.12)
Under 10.5 63.64% (-0.12)

Ayr United Goals

Over 1.5 63.13% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 36.87% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 36.36%
Under 2.5 63.64%
Over 3.5 17.73%
Under 3.5 82.27%

Greenock Morton Goals

Over 0.5 39.46%
Under 0.5 60.54%
Over 1.5 12.05%
Under 1.5 87.95%
Over 2.5 2.38% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 97.62% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 0.45%
Under 3.5 99.55%

Score analysis

Ayr United 72.06%
Draw 18%
Greenock Morton 9.94%
Ayr United
2-0 @ 13.49% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 13.12% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 10.07% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.56%
3-1 @ 5.88% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.22%
Other @ 17.72%
Total : 72.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.24% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.14% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.15%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 18%
Greenock Morton
0-1 @ 3.73%
1-2 @ 2.81% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 1.49%
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 9.94%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Somerset Park
  • Nicholas McAllister 50' yellowcard
  • Ben Summers 60' yellowcard
  • Stuart Bannigan 73' yellowcard
  • Liam Dick 73' yellowcard
  • goal Aaron Comrie 3'
  • yellowcard Jackson Longridge 30'
  • yellowcard Cameron Blues 71'
  • yellowcard Arron Lyall 82'
Scottish Championship
Dec 27, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • 33' yellowcard
  • Iain Wilson 33' yellowcard
  • Arron Lyall 48' goal
  • Aaron Comrie 50' yellowcard
  • goal Anton Dowds 25'
  • yellowcard Kevin Holt 29'
Scottish Championship
Oct 18, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship
Aug 23, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship Gameweek 28
Mar 8, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Cappielow Park
  • Cameron Blues 56' goal
  • Jordan Davies 77' goal
  • Dylan Corr 84' redcard
  • Arron Lyall 88' yellowcard
  • Arron Lyall 88' yellowcard
  • goal Curtis Main 8'
  • yellowcard Nick McAllister 45'
  • yellowcard George Oakley 87'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 19
Dec 28, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Somerset Park
  • Nick McAllister 24' yellowcard
  • Michael Devlin 26' yellowcard
  • Ben Dempsey 44' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Filip Stuparevic 36'