Scottish Championship Gameweek 4
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Somerset Park
  • Luke McBeth 37' yellowcard
  • Jamie Murphy 44' goal
  • yellowcard Cláudio Botelho 42'
  • goal Eamonn Brophy 63'
  • yellowcard Laiith Fairnie 72'
  • yellowcard Kerr Robertson 75'

Ayr United vs Greenock Morton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Raith Rovers 2 - 0 Ayr
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Ben Summers

Greenock Morton

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Morton 1 - 2 Arbroath
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Dean Black

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 72.1%. A draw had a probability of 17.97% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 9.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ayr United win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.03%) and 3-0 (10.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%) , while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result

Ayr United 72.1% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 17.97% ▼ (-0.02)
Greenock Morton 9.93% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.16% ▼ (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.16% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 1.5 22.84% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 2.5 53.99% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 2.5 46.01% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 3.5 31.05% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 3.5 68.95% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 4.5 21.56% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 4.5 78.44% ▼ (-0.15)

First Half Winner

Ayr United 51.36% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 36.03% ▲ (+0.06)
Greenock Morton 12.61% ▼ (-0.03)

Team To Score First

Ayr United 68.82% ▲ (+0.07)
No Goal 6.12% ▼ (-0.02)
Greenock Morton 25.06% ▼ (-0.06)

Corners

Over 8 59.34% ▼ (-0.22)
Equal 8 11.53%
Under 8 29.13% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 9 47.44% ▼ (-0.21)
Equal 9 11.9% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 9 40.66% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 10.5 36.2% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 10.5 63.8% ▲ (+0.16)

Ayr United Goals

Over 1.5 63.28% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 1.5 36.72% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 2.5 36.55% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 2.5 63.45% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 3.5 17.88% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 3.5 82.12% ▼ (-0.15)

Greenock Morton Goals

Over 0.5 39.43% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 60.57% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 12.07% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 87.93% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 2.4% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 97.6% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 0.44% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 99.56% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Ayr United 72.11%
Draw 17.98%
Greenock Morton 9.93%
Ayr United
2-0 @ 13.46% ▼ (-0.03)
1-0 @ 13.03% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 10.11% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.56%
3-1 @ 5.87% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 17.87% ▲ (+0.16)
Total : 72.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.22% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.12% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 3.15%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 17.98%
Greenock Morton
0-1 @ 3.71% ▼ (-0.03)
1-2 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.43% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 9.93%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Somerset Park
  • Nicholas McAllister 50' yellowcard
  • Ben Summers 60' yellowcard
  • Stuart Bannigan 73' yellowcard
  • Liam Dick 73' yellowcard
  • goal Aaron Comrie 3'
  • yellowcard Jackson Longridge 30'
  • yellowcard Cameron Blues 71'
  • yellowcard Arron Lyall 82'
Scottish Championship
Dec 27, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • 33' yellowcard
  • Iain Wilson 33' yellowcard
  • Arron Lyall 48' goal
  • Aaron Comrie 50' yellowcard
  • goal Anton Dowds 25'
  • yellowcard Kevin Holt 29'
Scottish Championship
Oct 18, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship
Aug 23, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship Gameweek 28
Mar 8, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Cappielow Park
  • Cameron Blues 56' goal
  • Jordan Davies 77' goal
  • Dylan Corr 84' redcard
  • Arron Lyall 88' yellowcard
  • Arron Lyall 88' yellowcard
  • goal Curtis Main 8'
  • yellowcard Nick McAllister 45'
  • yellowcard George Oakley 87'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 19
Dec 28, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Somerset Park
  • Nick McAllister 24' yellowcard
  • Michael Devlin 26' yellowcard
  • Ben Dempsey 44' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Filip Stuparevic 36'