Scottish Championship Gameweek 3
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
LIVE Cappielow Park
  • Dean Black 46' goal
  • goal J. Bonnar 20'

Greenock Morton vs Arbroath - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Greenock Morton

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 3.00pm
Stenhousemuir 2 - 0 Morton

Arbroath

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 3.00pm
Arbroath 0 - 0 Inverness

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arbroath win with a probability of 39.69%. A win for Greenock Morton has a probability of 30.61% and a draw has a probability of 29.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arbroath win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (7.46%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win is 1-0 (10.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.86%).

Result

Greenock Morton 30.61% (-0.11)
Draw 29.7% (-0.02)
Arbroath 39.69% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.72% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 63.52% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 36.48% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 37.81% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 62.19% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 18.56% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 81.44% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 9.43% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 90.57% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Greenock Morton 24.48% (-0.04)
Draw 46.97% (+0.05)
Arbroath 28.55% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Greenock Morton 40.56% (+0.06)
No Goal 12.46%
Arbroath 46.98% (-0.06)

Corners

Over 8 53.34% (-0.14)
Equal 8 12.02%
Under 8 34.64% (+0.15)
Over 9 41.52% (-0.11)
Equal 9 11.83% (-0.02)
Under 9 46.66% (+0.14)
Over 10.5 30.84% (-0.09)
Under 10.5 69.16% (+0.08)

Greenock Morton Goals

Over 1.5 26.05% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 73.95% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 8.25% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 91.75% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 2.19% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.81% (+0.02)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5 67.43% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 32.57% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 32.15%
Under 1.5 67.85%
Over 2.5 11.94% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 88.06% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.6% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.4% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Greenock Morton 30.62%
Draw 29.71%
Arbroath 39.69%
Greenock Morton
1-0 @ 10.66% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 6.81% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.41% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 2.23% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.88% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.45% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.18% (-0.03)
Total : 30.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.86% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 12.46%
2-2 @ 3.88% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 29.71%
Arbroath
0-1 @ 13.38% (+0.07)
1-2 @ 7.46% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 7.42% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.11% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.03% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.59% (-0.02)
Total : 39.69%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship Gameweek 31
Mar 28, 2026 1.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Cappielow Park
  • Owen Moffat 17' goal
  • Curtis Main 32' goal
  • Michael O'Halloran 58' yellowcard
  • Jackson Longridge 63' yellowcard
  • Cammy Ballantyne 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jacob MacIntyre 18'
  • goal Findlay Marshall 37'
  • yellowcard Harry Cochrane 55'
  • yellowcard Gavin Reilly 56'
  • yellowcard Harry Cochrane 56'
  • yellowcard Dapo Mebude 84'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 23
Jan 23, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Gayfield Park
  • Aaron Muirhead 58' goal
  • Jacob MacIntyre 82' yellowcard
  • Jacob MacIntyre 83' yellowcard
  • Scott Robinson 89' yellowcard
  • Nikolay Todorov 89' yellowcard
  • 90' yellowcard
  • Nikolay Todorov 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Owen Moffat 67'
  • goal Michael Garrity 74'
  • yellowcard Nathan Shaw 84'
  • yellowcard Nathan Shaw 85'
  • yellowcard Cameron MacPherson 90'
  • yellowcard Scott Robinson 90'
  • yellowcard Cameron MacPherson 90'+1'
Scottish Championship
Nov 8, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship
Sep 20, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship Gameweek 34
Apr 20, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Gayfield Park
  • Michael McKenna 68' goal
  • George Oakley 76' yellowcard
  • Calum Waters 86' yellowcard
  • goal Robbie Crawford 56'
  • goal George Oakley 58'
  • yellowcard Aaron Steele 77'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 22
Jan 27, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Cappielow Park
  • Alan Power 34' yellowcard
  • Robbie Muirhead 63' goal
  • George Oakley 75' goal
  • Grant Gillespie 82' goal
  • yellowcard Keaghan Jacobs 25'
  • redcard Keaghan Jacobs 28'
  • yellowcard Mark Stowe 29'
  • yellowcard Jay Bird 48'
  • yellowcard Kyle Robinson 50'