Scottish Championship Gameweek 5
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
Tulloch Caledonian Stadium

Inverness Caledonian Thistle vs Raith Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Stenhousemuir 3 - 1 Inverness
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Alfie Bavidge

Raith Rovers

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Aug 28, 2026 7.30pm
Dunfermline 1 - 0 Raith Rovers
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Anton Dowds

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 52.68%. A draw has a probability of 25.43% and a win for Raith Rovers has a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.74%) , while for a Raith Rovers win it is 0-1 (7.85%).

Result

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 52.68% (+0.65)
Draw 25.43% (-0.22)
Raith Rovers 21.9% (-0.43)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.78% (+0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.15% (+0.27)
Under 1.5 30.85% (-0.26)
Over 2.5 43.94% (+0.47)
Under 2.5 56.06% (-0.47)
Over 3.5 22.5% (+0.38)
Under 3.5 77.5% (-0.38)
Over 4.5 12.28% (+0.22)
Under 4.5 87.72% (-0.22)

First Half Winner

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 38.28% (-0.55)
Draw 41.73% (+0.03)
Raith Rovers 19.99% (+0.52)

Team To Score First

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 55.36% (-0.14)
No Goal 9.07% (+0.02)
Raith Rovers 35.57% (+0.11)

Corners

Over 8 48.95% (-0.45)
Equal 8 12.12% (+0.02)
Under 8 38.94% (+0.44)
Over 9 37.43% (-0.43)
Equal 9 11.51% (-0.03)
Under 9 51.05% (+0.45)
Over 10.5 27.38% (-0.36)
Under 10.5 72.62% (+0.36)

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 1.5 44.62% (+0.67)
Under 1.5 55.38% (-0.67)
Over 2.5 19.3% (+0.50)
Under 2.5 80.7% (-0.49)
Over 3.5 6.8% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 93.2% (-0.08)

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 54.75% (-0.21)
Under 0.5 45.25% (+0.21)
Over 1.5 20.92% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 79.08% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 6.19% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 93.81% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 1.43%
Under 3.5 98.57%

Score analysis

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 52.67%
Draw 25.44%
Raith Rovers 21.9%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle
1-0 @ 13.94% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 10.36% (+0.10)
2-1 @ 9.7% (+0.11)
3-0 @ 5.13% (+0.10)
3-1 @ 4.54% (+0.16)
3-2 @ 2.24% (+0.18)
Other @ 6.76% (+0.09)
Total : 52.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.74% (-0.20)
0-0 @ 9.07% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.04%
Total : 25.44%
Raith Rovers
0-1 @ 7.85% (-0.18)
1-2 @ 5.38% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 3.11% (-0.12)
1-3 @ 1.69% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.26% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.22% (-0.07)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 21.9%

Head to Head

Scottish Challenge Cup
Apr 5, 2026 4.10pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stark's Park
  • Innes Cameron 29' goal
  • Innes Cameron 55' goal
  • Scott Brown 59' yellowcard
  • Dylan Easton 60' goal
  • Dylan Easton 69' goal
  • Richard Chin 71' yellowcard
  • Lewis Vaughan 71' yellowcard
  • Jack Hamilton 79' yellowcard
  • Ewan Wilson 79' yellowcard
  • goal Alfie Stewart 38'
  • yellowcard Alfie Bavidge 66'
  • yellowcard Luis Longstaff 66'
  • yellowcard Adam Mackinnon 77'
  • yellowcard Calum MacLeod 77'
  • yellowcard David Wotherspoon 77'
Scottish League Cup
Jul 26, 2025 3.00pm
5
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship Gameweek 34
Apr 19, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
  • yellowcard Scott Brown 45'+1'
  • goal Lewis Vaughan 49'
  • yellowcard Scott Brown 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Kevin Dabrowski 90'+2'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 22
Jan 27, 2024 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 3
FT Stark's Park
  • Jack Hamilton 25' goal
  • Lewis Vaughan 52' goal
  • goal Alex Samuel 31'
  • goal Alex Samuel 36'
  • goal Alex Samuel 40'
  • yellowcard Mark Ridgers 87'
  • yellowcard Nathan Shaw 90'+4'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 14
Dec 2, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
  • Daniel Devine 34' yellowcard
  • Daniel Devine 34' yellowcard
  • Billy Mckay 61' goal
  • Charlie Gilmour 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dylan Corr 75'
  • goal Lewis Vaughan 86'
  • goal James Gullan 90'+4'
  • yellowcard James Gullan 90'+4'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 5
Sep 16, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stark's Park
  • Liam Dick 62' yellowcard
  • James Gullan 87' goal
  • Keith Watson 90' yellowcard
  • Keith Watson 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Charlie Gilmour 8'
  • yellowcard Daniel Devine 84'