Scottish Championship Gameweek 5
Inverness
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
Raith Rovers
  • Dan MacKay 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal John Robertson 11'
  • yellowcard Zak Delaney 48'
  • yellowcard Dylan Easton 83'
  • goal Jai Rowe 85'

Inverness Caledonian Thistle vs Raith Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Stenhousemuir 3 - 1 Inverness
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Alfie Bavidge

Raith Rovers

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Aug 28, 2026 7.30pm
Dunfermline 1 - 0 Raith Rovers
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Anton Dowds

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 52.37%. A draw has a probability of 25.45% and a win for Raith Rovers has a probability of 22.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.75%) , while for a Raith Rovers win it is 0-1 (7.87%).

Result

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 52.37% ▼ (-0.32)
Draw 25.45% ▲ (+0.02)
Raith Rovers 22.18% ▲ (+0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.1% ▲ (+0.33)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.37% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 1.5 30.63% ▼ (-0.23)
Over 2.5 44.27% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 2.5 55.73% ▼ (-0.34)
Over 3.5 22.79% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 3.5 77.21% ▼ (-0.30)
Over 4.5 12.43% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 4.5 87.57% ▼ (-0.16)

First Half Winner

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 38.03% ▼ (-0.25)
Draw 41.78% ▲ (+0.06)
Raith Rovers 20.2% ▲ (+0.22)

Team To Score First

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 55.18% ▼ (-0.18)
No Goal 8.99% ▼ (-0.09)
Raith Rovers 35.83% ▲ (+0.26)

Corners

Over 8 49.04% ▲ (+0.09)
Equal 8 12.08% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 8 38.88% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 9 37.55% ▲ (+0.12)
Equal 9 11.49% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 9 50.96% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 10.5 27.51% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 10.5 72.49% ▼ (-0.14)

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 1.5 44.59% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 55.41% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 19.33% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 80.67% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 6.8%
Under 3.5 93.2%

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 55.19% ▲ (+0.44)
Under 0.5 44.81% ▼ (-0.44)
Over 1.5 21.3% ▲ (+0.38)
Under 1.5 78.7% ▼ (-0.38)
Over 2.5 6.38% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 2.5 93.62% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 3.5 1.49% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 98.51% ▼ (-0.06)

Score analysis

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 52.36%
Draw 25.44%
Raith Rovers 22.19%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle
1-0 @ 13.76% ▼ (-0.18)
2-0 @ 10.21% ▼ (-0.15)
2-1 @ 9.71% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 5.08% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.56% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 6.76%
Total : 52.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.75% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.99% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 4.05% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.04%
Total : 25.44%
Raith Rovers
0-1 @ 7.87% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 5.44% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 22.19%

Head to Head

Scottish Challenge Cup
Raith Rovers
Apr 5, 2026 4.10pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stark's Park
Inverness
  • Innes Cameron 29' goal
  • Innes Cameron 55' goal
  • Scott Brown 59' yellowcard
  • Dylan Easton 60' goal
  • Dylan Easton 69' goal
  • Richard Chin 71' yellowcard
  • Lewis Vaughan 71' yellowcard
  • Jack Hamilton 79' yellowcard
  • Ewan Wilson 79' yellowcard
  • goal Alfie Stewart 38'
  • yellowcard Alfie Bavidge 66'
  • yellowcard Luis Longstaff 66'
  • yellowcard Adam Mackinnon 77'
  • yellowcard Calum MacLeod 77'
  • yellowcard David Wotherspoon 77'
Scottish League Cup
Raith Rovers
Jul 26, 2025 3.00pm
5
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Inverness
Scottish Championship Gameweek 34
Inverness
Apr 19, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
Raith Rovers
  • yellowcard Scott Brown 45'+1'
  • goal Lewis Vaughan 49'
  • yellowcard Scott Brown 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Kevin Dabrowski 90'+2'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 22
Raith Rovers
Jan 27, 2024 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 3
FT Stark's Park
Inverness
  • Jack Hamilton 25' goal
  • Lewis Vaughan 52' goal
  • goal Alex Samuel 31'
  • goal Alex Samuel 36'
  • goal Alex Samuel 40'
  • yellowcard Mark Ridgers 87'
  • yellowcard Nathan Shaw 90'+4'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 14
Inverness
Dec 2, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
Raith Rovers
  • Daniel Devine 34' yellowcard
  • Daniel Devine 34' yellowcard
  • Billy Mckay 61' goal
  • Charlie Gilmour 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dylan Corr 75'
  • goal Lewis Vaughan 86'
  • goal James Gullan 90'+4'
  • yellowcard James Gullan 90'+4'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 5
Raith Rovers
Sep 16, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stark's Park
Inverness
  • Liam Dick 62' yellowcard
  • James Gullan 87' goal
  • Keith Watson 90' yellowcard
  • Keith Watson 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Charlie Gilmour 8'
  • yellowcard Daniel Devine 84'

Form Data

Stenhousemuir 3 - 1 Inverness
Inverness 1 - 1 Partick
Hearts 6 - 2 Inverness
Arbroath 0 - 0 Inverness
Inverness 0 - 0 Dunfermline
Morton 0 - 1 Inverness
Dunfermline 1 - 0 Raith Rovers
Raith Rovers 2 - 0 Ayr
Queen's Park 1 - 2 Raith Rovers
Raith Rovers 1 - 1 Stenhousemuir
Raith Rovers 0 - 1 Hearts
Raith Rovers 1 - 0 Peterhead