Scottish Championship Gameweek 4
Aug 28, 2026 7.30pm
East End Park

Dunfermline Athletic vs Raith Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dunfermline Athletic

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Livingston 2 - 0 Dunfermline
Goals scored
1
Top scorer
Andy Tod

Raith Rovers

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Raith Rovers 2 - 0 Ayr
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Anton Dowds

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 46.45%. A draw has a probability of 27.64% and a win for Raith Rovers has a probability of 25.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.39%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.7%) , while for a Raith Rovers win it is 0-1 (9.25%).

Result

Dunfermline Athletic 46.45% (-0.04)
Draw 27.64%
Raith Rovers 25.91% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.03%

Goals

Over 1.5 66.91% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 33.09% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 40.56% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 59.44% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 20.12% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 79.89%
Over 4.5 10.22% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 89.78% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Dunfermline Athletic 35.82%
Draw 44.99% (+0.02)
Raith Rovers 19.2%

Team To Score First

Dunfermline Athletic 54.32% (+0.01)
No Goal 10.31% (+0.01)
Raith Rovers 35.37% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 55.35% (-0.11)
Equal 8 11.63% (+0.02)
Under 8 33.02% (+0.10)
Over 9 43.74% (-0.08)
Equal 9 11.62%
Under 9 44.65% (+0.11)
Over 10.5 33.08% (-0.08)
Under 10.5 66.92% (+0.08)

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 1.5 39.01% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 60.99% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 15.13% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 84.87% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 4.76% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.24% (+0.01)

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 57.91%
Under 0.5 42.09%
Over 1.5 23.2%
Under 1.5 76.8%
Over 2.5 6.9%
Under 2.5 93.1%
Over 3.5 1.62%
Under 3.5 98.38%

Score analysis

Dunfermline Athletic 46.45%
Draw 27.66%
Raith Rovers 25.89%
Dunfermline Athletic
1-0 @ 13.53%
2-0 @ 9.39% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.91% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.11% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.85%
3-2 @ 1.91%
Other @ 4.75% (-0.01)
Total : 46.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.7%
0-0 @ 10.31% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.14%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.66%
Raith Rovers
0-1 @ 9.25% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6%
0-2 @ 4.25%
1-3 @ 1.91% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.44%
0-3 @ 1.43% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 25.89%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship Gameweek 29
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT East End Park
  • Chris Kane 6' yellowcard
  • Callumn Morrison 27' goal
  • Kyle Benedictus 61' yellowcard
  • Shea Kearney 61' yellowcard
  • Josh Cooper 74' yellowcard
  • Chris Hamilton 74' yellowcard
  • 74' yellowcard
  • 74' yellowcard
  • Chris Kane 90' goal
  • Andy Tod 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Innes Cameron 30'
  • yellowcard Kai Montagu 63'
  • yellowcard Andy Winter 63'
  • yellowcard Ross Matthews 72'
  • yellowcard Richard Chin 72'
Scottish Championship
Dec 27, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Scott Brown 17' yellowcard
  • Scott Brown 18' yellowcard
  • Dylan Easton 60' goal
  • 67' yellowcard
  • 68' yellowcard
  • 70' yellowcard
  • goal Andy Tod 33'
  • goal Barney Stewart 40'
  • yellowcard 67'
  • yellowcard Richard Chin 67'
  • yellowcard Deniz Mehmet 71'
  • yellowcard 74'
  • yellowcard Z. Rudden 74'
  • yellowcard Zak Rudden 74'
Scottish Championship
Oct 17, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship
Aug 22, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship Gameweek 29
Mar 14, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stark's Park
  • Finlay Pollock 22' goal
  • Paul Hanlon 56' goal
  • yellowcard Tashan Oakley-Boothe 25'
  • yellowcard David Wotherspoon 55'
  • yellowcard Chris Hamilton 84'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 23
Feb 1, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 2
FT East End Park
  • Chris Kane 50' goal
  • Chris Kane 50' goal
  • Chris Kane 65' goal
  • Chris Kane 65' goal
  • Chris Kane 76' goal
  • Chris Kane 76' goal
  • Kyle Benedictus 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Kyle Benedictus 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Dylan Easton 43'
  • goal Dylan Easton 43'
  • yellowcard Paul Hanlon 49'
  • yellowcard Paul Hanlon 49'
  • yellowcard Scott Brown 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Scott Brown 90'+4'