Copa Libertadores Gameweek 4
May 7, 2026 1.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín
  • Jáder Obrian 55' yellowcard
  • Iván Scarpeta 56' yellowcard
  • Hugo Rodallega 59' goal
  • Luis Palacios 79' yellowcard
  • Alexis Zapata 79' yellowcard
  • Jhojan Torres 79' yellowcard
  • Jhojan Torres 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dieguinho 75'
  • yellowcard André Carrillo 81'
  • yellowcard Kaio César 87'
  • yellowcard Pedro Raul 87'
  • goal Gustavo Henrique 90'+3'

Santa Fe vs Corinthians - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Santa Fe

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 29, 2026 11.00pm
Platense 2 - 1 Santa Fe

Corinthians

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 1, 2026 1.00am
Corinthians 2 - 0 Penarol

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Fe win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 28.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Fe win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 0-1 (10.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result

Santa Fe 38.93% (+0.08)
Draw 28.12% (+0.14)
Corinthians 32.95% (-0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.91% (+0.41)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.94% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 33.06% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 40.46% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 59.49% (-0.09)
Over 3.5 19.86% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 80.12% (-0.18)
Over 4.5 10.07% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 89.93% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Santa Fe 30.65% (-0.02)
Draw 48.72% (-0.11)
Corinthians 20.63% (+0.11)

Team To Score First

Santa Fe 52.05% (-0.17)
No Goal 10.09%
Corinthians 37.86% (+0.16)

Corners

Over 8 29.88% (-14.30)
Equal 8 9.92% (-2.24)
Under 8 60.2% (+16.53)
Over 9 21.83% (-11.24)
Equal 9 8.04% (-3.07)
Under 9 70.12% (+14.30)
Over 10.5 15.75% (-7.95)
Under 10.5 84.25% (+7.96)

Santa Fe Goals

Over 1.5 33.18% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 66.82% (-0.23)
Over 2.5 11.76% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 88.24% (-0.14)
Over 3.5 3.45% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.55% (-0.02)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5 63.76% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 36.24% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 28.69% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 71.31% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 9.89% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 90.11% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 2.66% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.34% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Santa Fe 38.95%
Draw 28.13%
Corinthians 32.94%
Santa Fe
1-0 @ 12.27% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.07% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.5% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.04% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 2.98% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.67% (+0.05)
Other @ 3.42% (-0.02)
Total : 38.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.24% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 10.09%
2-2 @ 4.15% (+0.11)
Other @ 0.03% (+0.02)
Total : 28.13%
Corinthians
0-1 @ 10.72% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 7.26% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.72%
1-3 @ 2.62% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.29% (-0.11)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.63% (-0.06)
Total : 32.94%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores Gameweek 2
Apr 16, 2026 1.30am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Corinthians
  • Raniele 51' goal
  • André Carrillo 76' yellowcard
  • Allan 76' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Henrique 80' goal
  • Jesse Lingard 81' yellowcard
  • Pedro Raul 86' yellowcard
  • Zakaria Labyad 86' yellowcard
  • Zakaria Labyad 87' yellowcard
  • 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Edwin Mosquera 77'
  • yellowcard Franco Fagúndez 77'
  • yellowcard Franco Fagúndez 79'
  • yellowcard Alexis Zapata 87'
  • yellowcard 87'
  • yellowcard Nahuel Bustos 87'