Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Fe win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 28.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Fe win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 0-1 (10.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.