Champions League Gameweek 7
Jan 20, 2026 8.00pm
6
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
  • Kylian Mbappe 5' goal
  • Kylian Mbappe 26' goal
  • Dani Ceballos 46' yellowcard
  • Franco Mastantuono 51' goal
  • Thilo Kehrer 55' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 63' goal
  • Gonzalo Garcia 71' yellowcard
  • Dani Carvajal 76' yellowcard
  • Fran Garcia 77' yellowcard
  • Jude Bellingham 80' goal
  • Daniel Mesonero Miguel 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mamadou Coulibaly 61'
  • yellowcard Kassoum Ouattara 61'
  • goal Jordan Teze 72'
  • yellowcard George Ilenikhena 73'
  • yellowcard Aladji Bamba 73'
  • yellowcard Lucas Michal 84'

Real Madrid vs Monaco - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Dec 10, 2025 8.00pm
Real Madrid 1 - 2 Man City

Monaco

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Dec 9, 2025 8.00pm
Monaco 1 - 0 Galatasaray

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 57.43%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 22.17% and a draw had a probability of 20.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (6.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%).

Result

Real Madrid 57.43% (-0.44)
Draw 20.37% (+0.09)
Monaco 22.17% (+0.37)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.48% (+0.24)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.51% (+0.33)
Under 1.5 18.49% (-0.33)
Over 2.5 60.92% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 39.08% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 37.26% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 62.74% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 23.68% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 76.32% (-0.09)

First Half Winner

Real Madrid 46.62%
Draw 34.24%
Monaco 19.14%

Team To Score First

Real Madrid 63.31% (+0.24)
No Goal 4.54% (-0.05)
Monaco 32.15% (-0.20)

Corners

Over 8 61.16% (-1.73)
Equal 8 10.95% (+0.29)
Under 8 27.89% (+1.43)
Over 9 49.72% (-1.86)
Equal 9 11.45% (+0.15)
Under 9 38.84% (+1.73)
Over 10.5 38.73% (-1.85)
Under 10.5 61.28% (+1.86)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 1.5 57.2% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 42.8% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 30.69% (-0.27)
Under 2.5 69.31% (+0.27)
Over 3.5 13.52% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 86.48% (+0.07)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5 57.92% (+0.14)
Under 0.5 42.08% (-0.14)
Over 1.5 27.71% (+0.36)
Under 1.5 72.29% (-0.35)
Over 2.5 10.18% (+0.20)
Under 2.5 89.82% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 3.01% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 96.99% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Real Madrid 57.43%
Draw 20.36%
Monaco 22.16%
Real Madrid
2-1 @ 10.15% (-0.14)
1-0 @ 9.21% (-0.29)
2-0 @ 8.77% (+0.17)
3-0 @ 6.14% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 6.13% (-0.18)
3-2 @ 3.66% (-0.03)
Other @ 13.37% (-0.03)
Total : 57.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.24% (+0.10)
2-2 @ 5.19% (+0.13)
0-0 @ 4.54% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.15% (-0.05)
Total : 20.36%
Monaco
1-2 @ 6.09% (+0.05)
0-1 @ 4.69%
0-2 @ 2.59%
2-3 @ 2.4% (+0.15)
1-3 @ 2.25% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.28% (+0.08)
Other @ 2.86% (+0.09)
Total : 22.16%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 1
Sep 11, 2024 7.00pm
Estadio Municipal de Pasaron

Build-up

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