Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 57.43%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 22.17% and a draw had a probability of 20.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (6.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%).