Champions League Gameweek 4
RB Leipzig
Nov 4, 2026 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT Red Bull Arena
Man City
  • Christoph Baumgartner 17' yellowcard
  • Ridle Baku 33' yellowcard
  • Neil El Aynaoui 48' yellowcard
  • Ridle Baku 49' goal
  • Antonio Nusa 61' goal
  • David Raum 77' yellowcard
  • goal Castello Lukeba 37' (OG)
  • goal Enzo Fernández 58'
  • goal Erling Haaland 78'
  • yellowcard Jérémy Doku 88'
  • yellowcard Abdukodir Khusanov 90'+4'

RB Leipzig vs Manchester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Manchester City

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 8, 2026 8.00pm
Porto 0 - 2 Man City

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 42.93%. A win for Manchester City had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 21.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.15%) and 2-0 (4.96%). The likeliest Manchester City win was 1-2 (7.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result

RB Leipzig 42.93% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 21.23% ▼ (-0.04)
Manchester City 35.81% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

66.32%

Goals

Over 1.5 86.4% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 13.6% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 68.13% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 31.87% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 46.35% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 53.65% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 31.13% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 68.87% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

RB Leipzig 35.06%
Draw 38%
Manchester City 26.94%

Team To Score First

RB Leipzig 51.82% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 3.41% ▼ (-0.03)
Manchester City 44.77% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 63.67%
Equal 8 9.58%
Under 8 26.75%
Over 9 53.47%
Equal 9 10.19%
Under 9 36.33%
Over 10.5 43.4%
Under 10.5 56.6%

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 1.5 50.51% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 49.49% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 27.25% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 72.75% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 12.5% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 87.5% ▼ (-0.04)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 70.39% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 0.5 29.61% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 1.5 43.58% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 56.42% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 21.63% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 78.37% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 9.45%
Under 3.5 90.55%

Score analysis

RB Leipzig 42.92%
Draw 21.22%
Manchester City 35.81%
RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 8.1%
1-0 @ 5.15% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.96%
3-1 @ 4.93% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.95% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.74% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 12.09% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 42.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.79% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 6.48%
0-0 @ 3.41% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 2.13%
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 21.22%
Manchester City
1-2 @ 7.21% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 4.99% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.52% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.72%
0-3 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 9.04%
Total : 35.81%

Head to Head

Champions League
Man City
Nov 28, 2023 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 2
FT Etihad Stadium
RB Leipzig
  • Ruben Dias 21' yellowcard
  • Erling Haaland 54' goal
  • Phil Foden 70' goal
  • Julian Alvarez 87' goal
  • goal Lois Openda 13'
  • goal Lois Openda 33'
Champions League
RB Leipzig
Oct 4, 2023 8.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Red Bull Arena
Man City
  • Lois Openda 48' goal
  • Xaver Schlager 72' yellowcard
  • David Raum 78' yellowcard
  • goal Phil Foden 25'
  • yellowcard Manuel Akanji 65'
  • goal Julian Alvarez 84'
  • goal Jeremy Doku 90'+2'
Champions League
Man City
Mar 14, 2023 8.00pm
7
0
HT : 3 0
FT
RB Leipzig
  • Erling Braut Haaland 22' goal
  • Erling Braut Haaland 24' goal
  • Erling Braut Haaland 45'+2' goal
  • Ilkay Gundogan 49' goal
  • Erling Braut Haaland 53' goal
  • Erling Braut Haaland 57' goal
  • Kevin De Bruyne 90'+2' goal
Champions League
RB Leipzig
Feb 22, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Man City
  • Josko Gvardiol 70' goal
  • goal Riyad Mahrez 27'
Champions League
RB Leipzig
Dec 7, 2021 5.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Man City
  • Kevin Kampl 14' yellowcard
  • Dominik Szoboszlai 24' goal
  • Andre Silva 71' goal
  • Tyler Adams 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kevin De Bruyne 30'
  • goal Riyad Mahrez 77'
  • yellowcard John Stones 81'
  • redcard Kyle Walker 83'
Champions League
Man City
Sep 15, 2021 8.00pm
6
3
HT : 3 1
FT
RB Leipzig
  • Oleksandr Zinchenko 12' yellowcard
  • Nathan Ake 16' goal
  • Nordi Mukiele 28' goal
  • Riyad Mahrez 45'+2' goal
  • Jack Grealish 56' goal
  • Joao Cancelo 75' goal
  • Gabriel Jesus 85' goal
  • goal Christopher Nkunku 42'
  • yellowcard Lukas Klostermann 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Tyler Adams 49'
  • goal Christopher Nkunku 51'
  • yellowcard Angelino 58'
  • goal Christopher Nkunku 73'
  • redcard Angelino 79'

Form Data

Schalke 0 - 2 RB Leipzig
RWE 1 - 2 RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig 4 - 0 Elversberg
Real Madrid 4 - 1 RB Leipzig
Bayern 6 - 1 RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig 1 - 0 PSV
Man City 0 - 1 Brighton
Man City 2 - 2 Brighton
Aston Villa 2 - 1 Man City
Man City 5 - 1 AEK Athens
Man City 3 - 2 Ipswich
Man City 2 - 4 PSG

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