Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Wakrah win with a probability of 49.89%. A win for Al Gharafa had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al Wakrah win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.2%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Al Gharafa win was 1-2 (6.63%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.