Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33

May 10, 2025 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio de Sao Miguel

Santa Clara
2 - 1
Famalicao

da Silva Costa (23', 81')
Calila (26'), Soares (35'), Nunes Oliveira (38'), Lima (38'), Rocha (45+1'), Ricardinho (45+4'), MT (65')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sa (58')
de Haas (89'), Dias (90+2')
Sejk (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Santa Clara and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Santa Clara

All competitions

Last Game: Braga 1-1 Santa Clara
Saturday, May 3 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Famalicao

All competitions

Last Game: Farense 2-1 Famalicao
Saturday, May 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 42.5%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (10.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Santa Clara in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Santa Clara.

Result
Santa Clara	Draw	Famalicao
42.5% ( 0.32)	27.86% ( -0.05)	29.64% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 46.75% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.12% (

0.08)

58.88% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.62% (

0.06)

79.38% (

-0.06)

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.61% (

0.21)

27.39% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.14% (

0.27)

62.86% (

-0.27)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.39% (

-0.16)

35.61% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.62% (

-0.16)

72.38% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Santa Clara 42.5%

Famalicao 29.63%

Draw 27.86%

Santa Clara	Draw	Famalicao
1-0 @ 12.63% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.87% Total : 42.5%	1-1 @ 13.04% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.75% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( 0) Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.86%	0-1 @ 10.07% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.03% Total : 29.63%