Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 42.5%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (10.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Santa Clara in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Santa Clara.