/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fporlog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fnaclog.png)
-
Francisco Moura
1'
-
Fabio Vieira
43'
-
Samu Omorodion
69'
-
Rodrigo Mora Carvalho
83'
-
Matheus Dias
13'
-
Ze Vitor
26'
-
Paulinho
45'+3'
-
Ze Vitor
66'
-
Leonardo Rodrigues dos Santos
80'
-
Francisco Adriano Baptista Goncalves
88'
-
Gustavo Garcia
90'+1'
Porto vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F10%2Fsamu-aghehowa.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 75.39%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 8.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.38%) and 3-0 (10.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.44%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (3.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result
Porto
75.39%
▼
(-0.66)
Draw
15.65%
▲
(+0.31)
Nacional
8.96%
▲
(+0.36)
Both Teams to Score:
46.68%
▲
(+0.50)
Goals
Over 2.5
61.11%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 2.5
38.89%
▲
(+0.21)
Over 3.5
38.8%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 3.5
61.2%
▲
(+0.22)
Over 4.5
21.18%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 4.5
78.82%
▲
(+0.18)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5
91.29%
▼
(-0.21)
Under 0.5
8.71%
▲
(+0.20)
Over 1.5
70.04%
▼
(-0.49)
Under 1.5
29.96%
▲
(+0.49)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5
51.13%
▲
(+0.66)
Under 0.5
48.87%
▼
(-0.66)
Over 1.5
16.14%
▲
(+0.47)
Under 1.5
83.86%
▼
(-0.47)
Score analysis
Porto
75.38%
Draw
15.65%
Nacional
8.96%
Porto
2-0
@
12.67%
▼
(-0.12)
1-0 @ 10.38%
3-0 @ 10.31% ▼ (-0.19)
2-1 @ 9.08% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 7.39% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 6.3% ▼ (-0.18)
4-1 @ 4.51% ▼ (-0.05)
5-0 @ 3.07% ▼ (-0.12)
3-2 @ 2.65% ▲ (+0.05)
5-1 @ 2.2% ▼ (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.61% ▲ (+0.02)
6-0 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 75.38%
1-0 @ 10.38%
3-0 @ 10.31% ▼ (-0.19)
2-1 @ 9.08% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 7.39% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 6.3% ▼ (-0.18)
4-1 @ 4.51% ▼ (-0.05)
5-0 @ 3.07% ▼ (-0.12)
3-2 @ 2.65% ▲ (+0.05)
5-1 @ 2.2% ▼ (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.61% ▲ (+0.02)
6-0 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 75.38%
Draw
1-1
@
7.44%
▲
(+0.15)
0-0 @ 4.25% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 3.25% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 15.65%
0-0 @ 4.25% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 3.25% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 15.65%
Nacional
0-1
@
3.05%
▲
(+0.09)
1-2 @ 2.66% ▲ (+0.10)
0-2 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 8.96%
1-2 @ 2.66% ▲ (+0.10)
0-2 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 8.96%
Head to Head
-
Dudu
17'
-
Ze Vitor
44'
-
Gustavo Garcia
45'+6'
-
Stephen Eustaquio
55'
-
Jose Gomes
89'
-
Rodrigo Mora Carvalho
5'
-
Rodrigo Mora Carvalho
5'
-
Djibril Soumare
56'
-
Otavio
78'
-
Fabio Vieira
82'
-
Goncalo Borges
83'
-
Nehuen Perez
83'