Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34

May 16, 2025 at 7pm UK

Complexo Desportivo FC Famalicao - Campo 2

Famalicao
2 - 1
Casa Pia

Elisor (37', 72')
van de Looi (26'), Bondo Francisco (42')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Larrazabal (54')
Tchamba (17'), Mohamed (30'), Kraev (31'), Nhaga (81'), (90+4'), Roberto (90+1'), Jose Gabriel Bandeira (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Famalicao and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Famalicao

All competitions

Last Game: Santa Clara 2-1 Famalicao
Saturday, May 10 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Casa Pia

All competitions

Last Game: Casa Pia 2-1 Braga
Saturday, May 10 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 53.79%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 20.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (7.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.

Result
Famalicao	Draw	Casa Pia
53.79% ( -0.05)	25.74% ( 0.01)	20.47% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 44.53% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.36% (

0.01)

57.64% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.59% (

78.4% (

-0.01)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.49% (

-0.02)

21.51% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.43% (

-0.03)

54.57% (

0.03)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.73% (

0.05)

43.26% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.49% (

0.04)

79.51% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Famalicao 53.78%

Casa Pia 20.47%

Draw 25.74%

Famalicao	Draw	Casa Pia
1-0 @ 14.3% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.98% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.72% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.16% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0) Other @ 3% Total : 53.78%	1-1 @ 11.98% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.31% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.86% ( 0) Other @ 0.6% Total : 25.74%	0-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.08% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 1% Total : 20.47%