Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33

May 10, 2025 at 8.30pm UK

Campo do Cevadeiro

Casa Pia
2 - 1
Braga

Benaissa-Yahia (45'), Livolant (79')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Zalazar (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions

Last Game: Arouca 0-0 Casa Pia
Sunday, May 4 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Braga

All competitions

Last Game: Braga 1-1 Santa Clara
Saturday, May 3 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 60.66%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 16.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.04%) and 1-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Casa Pia	Draw	Braga
16.41% ( 0.05)	22.93% ( 0)	60.66% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 45.57% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.4% (

0.08)

52.6% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.75% (

0.07)

74.25% (

-0.06)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.87% (

0.11)

45.13% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.97% (

0.09)

81.04% (

-0.09)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.04% (

0.01)

16.96% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.95% (

0.02)

47.05% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Casa Pia 16.41%

Braga 60.65%

Draw 22.92%

Casa Pia	Draw	Braga
1-0 @ 6.09% ( 0) 2-1 @ 4.3% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.45% Total : 16.41%	1-1 @ 10.8% 0-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.65% Total : 22.92%	0-1 @ 13.58% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 12.04% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.59% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 7.13% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.67% ( 0) 0-4 @ 3.16% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.52% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.12% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 60.65%