MX23RW : Monday, May 12 06:42:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33
May 10, 2025 at 8.30pm UK
Campo do Cevadeiro
Braga

Casa Pia
2 - 1
Braga

FT(HT: 1-1)
Zalazar (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arouca 0-0 Casa Pia
Sunday, May 4 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 1-1 Santa Clara
Saturday, May 3 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Casa Pia 0-1 Braga

Although Braga have lacked sharpness in recent weeks, facing a struggling Casa Pia side without their captain at the back should hand them the edge, especially with third place still up for grabs and the visitors having more riding on the outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 60.66%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 16.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.04%) and 1-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Casa PiaDrawBraga
16.41% (0.048000000000002 0.05) 22.93% (0.0030000000000001 0) 60.66% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 45.57% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.4% (0.076000000000001 0.08)52.6% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.75% (0.065000000000001 0.07)74.25% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.87% (0.112 0.11)45.13% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.97% (0.09 0.09)81.04% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.04% (0.010999999999996 0.01)16.96% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.95% (0.018000000000001 0.02)47.05% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Casa Pia 16.41%
    Braga 60.65%
    Draw 22.92%
Casa PiaDrawBraga
1-0 @ 6.09% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 4.3% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 2.42% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.14% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.01% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 16.41%
1-1 @ 10.8%
0-0 @ 7.65% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.81% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 22.92%
0-1 @ 13.58% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 12.04% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.59% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 7.13% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.67% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 3.16% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.12% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 60.65%

How you voted: Casa Pia vs Braga

Casa Pia
0.0%
Draw
15.4%
Braga
84.6%
13
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 16
Braga
1-2
Casa Pia
El Ouazzani (45+2')
Bambu (63'), Arrey-Mbi (83')
Segovia (40'), Moreira (70')
Larrazabal (25'), Mukendi (66'), Geraldes (90+1')
May 5, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 32
Braga
4-3
Casa Pia
Djalo (12'), Ruiz (60', 88'), Zalazar (64')
Oliveira (56'), Djalo (74'), Cardoso (90+2')
Djalo (75')
Soma (35'), Lelo (51'), Oliveira (72' og.)
Soma (36'), Tchamba (83'), Lameiras (90+2'), Lameiras (90+2')
Chalo (36')
Dec 30, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 15
Casa Pia
1-3
Braga
Clayton (74' pen.)
Mukendi (90+6')
Moutinho (51'), Banza (77'), Zalazar (88')
Nov 1, 2023 8.15pm
Group Stage
Braga
1-1
Casa Pia
Pizzi (62')
Oliveira (74')
Clayton (76' pen.)
Paes (43'), Roberto (90+1')
Apr 21, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 29
Casa Pia
0-1
Braga
Horta (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon33247286275979
2Benfica33254483275679
3Porto33215762303268
4Braga33198654292565
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes331412747351254
6Santa ClaraSanta Clara33166113431354
7Casa Pia33129123842-445
8FamalicaoFamalicao331111114238444
9Estoril PraiaEstoril331110124453-943
10MoreirenseMoreirense33910143950-1137
11Rio AveRio Ave33910143854-1637
12AroucaArouca33811143148-1735
13Nacional3397173247-1534
14Gil Vicente3389163346-1333
15Estrela Amadora3378182446-2229
16SC FarenseFarense3369182444-2027
17AVS33512162557-3227
18BoavistaBoavista3366212355-3224


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