Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Braga had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.63%) and 0-2 (6.04%). The likeliest Braga win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.