Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34

May 17, 2025 at 6pm UK

Estadio Clube Desportivo das Aves

AVS
0 - 3
Moreirense

Afonso (8'), Fonseca (48'), Luis (51'), Galletto (73'), Akinsola (82'), Lopes (90+1'), Lopes (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Alan (17'), Teguia (25'), Jorquera (50')
Augusto Modesto Rafael dos Santos (7'), Martins (66'), Buta (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between AVS and Moreirense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AVS

All competitions

Last Game: Estrela Amadora 0-1 AVS
Sunday, May 11 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Moreirense

All competitions

Last Game: Moreirense 2-2 Estoril
Sunday, May 11 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AVS win with a probability of 39.54%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an AVS win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
AVS	Draw	Moreirense
39.54% ( -0.76)	27.78% ( 0.4)	32.68% ( 0.36)

Both teams to score 48.06% (

-1.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.25% (

-1.41)

57.75% (

1.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.51% (

-1.13)

78.49% (

1.13)

AVS Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.51% (

-1.1)

28.49% (

1.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.74% (

-1.4)

64.26% (

1.4)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.2% (

-0.48)

32.8% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.64% (

-0.54)

69.36% (

0.54)

Score Analysis

AVS 39.54%

Moreirense 32.67%

Draw 27.78%

AVS	Draw	Moreirense
1-0 @ 11.73% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 7.37% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.75% Total : 39.54%	1-1 @ 13.08% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 9.34% ( 0.49) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.78%	0-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.41) 1-2 @ 7.29% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.6% Total : 32.67%