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Bernardo Silva
7'
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Pep Guardiola
18'
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Josko Gvardiol
70'
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Matheus Nunes
77'
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Bernardo Silva
86'
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Matheus Nunes
90'+4'
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Marcus Rashford
18'
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Lucas Digne
35'
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Morgan Rogers
50'
-
Ollie Watkins
85'
Manchester City vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
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The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 66.89%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 15.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.96%) and 3-1 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.35%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-2 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Manchester City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Manchester City Goals
Aston Villa Goals
Score analysis
2-0 @ 7.96% ▼ (-0.17)
3-1 @ 7.81% ▲ (+0.13)
3-0 @ 6.7% ▲ (+0.08)
1-0 @ 6.31% ▼ (-0.34)
4-1 @ 4.93% ▲ (+0.24)
3-2 @ 4.55% ▲ (+0.09)
4-0 @ 4.23% ▲ (+0.19)
4-2 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.15)
5-1 @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.20)
5-0 @ 2.13% ▲ (+0.16)
5-2 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.12)
4-3 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.07)
6-1 @ 1.05% ▼ (-92.46)
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 66.89%
2-2 @ 5.4% ▼ (-0.07)
0-0 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.23)
3-3 @ 1.77% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 17.38%
0-1 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.25)
2-3 @ 2.1% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.14)
1-3 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 15.73%
Head to Head
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Jhon Duran
16'
-
Matty Cash
37'
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Emiliano Martinez
45'+2'
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Morgan Rogers
65'
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John McGinn
90'+4'
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Rico Lewis
47'
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Josko Gvardiol
84'
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Jack Grealish
87'
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Phil Foden
90'+3'
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Rodri
11'
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Jack Grealish
32'
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Phil Foden
45'+1'
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Phil Foden
62'
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Phil Foden
69'
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Jhon Duran
20'
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Douglas Luiz
38'
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Calum Chambers
90'+4'
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Ollie Watkins
60'
-
Leon Bailey
74'
-
Boubacar Kamara
87'
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John Stones
45'
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Rico Lewis
53'
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Rodri
4'
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Ilkay Gundogan
39'
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Riyad Mahrez
45'+1'
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Ollie Watkins
61'
-
Matty Cash
26'
-
Lucas Digne
71'
-
Leon Bailey
74'
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Erling Braut Haaland
50'
-
Ilkay Gundogan
76'
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Rodri
78'
-
Ilkay Gundogan
81'
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Matty Cash
37'
-
Tyrone Mings
49'
-
Philippe Coutinho
69'
-
Marvelous Nakamba
87'
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