World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Nov 14, 2024 at 11.30pm UK

Estadio Defensores del Chaco

Paraguay
2 - 1
Argentina

Sanabria (19'), Alderete (47')
Alderete (33'), Cubas (49'), Pitta (84')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Martinez (11')
Otamendi (81')

Reaction

Tottenham Hotspur's Cristian Romero and Rodrigo Bentancur pictured on October 30, 2024

Tottenham dealt fresh injury concern as 26-year-old hurt on international duty

Tottenham Hotspur are handed yet another injury scare over key defender Cristian Romero, who came off at half time in Argentina's 2-1 loss to Paraguay.

Nov 15, 14:59

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Paraguay and Argentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Argentina could line up for their World Cup qualifying clash away to Paraguay on Thursday.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paraguay

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Paraguay 2-1 Venezuela
Wednesday, October 16 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	10	14	22
2	Colombia	10	7	19
3	Uruguay	10	7	16
4	Brazil	10	6	16
5	Ecuador	10	2	16
6	Paraguay	10	0	13
7	Bolivia	10	-10	12
8	Venezuela	10	-2	11
9	Peru	10	-11	6
10	Chile	10	-13	5

Argentina

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Argentina 6-0 Bolivia
Wednesday, October 16 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	10	14	22
2	Colombia	10	7	19
3	Uruguay	10	7	16
4	Brazil	10	6	16
5	Ecuador	10	2	16
6	Paraguay	10	0	13
7	Bolivia	10	-10	12
8	Venezuela	10	-2	11
9	Peru	10	-11	6
10	Chile	10	-13	5

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 56.45%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 18.97%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.34%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Paraguay win it was 1-0 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Paraguay	Draw	Argentina
18.97% ( -0.18)	24.58% ( 1.01)	56.45% ( -0.83)

Both teams to score 45.5% (

-3.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.83% (

-4.03)

55.17% (

4.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.59% (

-3.42)

76.41% (

3.43)

Paraguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.5% (

-2.54)

43.5% (

2.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.29% (

-2.19)

79.71% (

2.2)

Argentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.54% (

-1.82)

19.46% (

1.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.69% (

-3.07)

51.31% (

3.07)

Score Analysis

Paraguay 18.97%

Argentina 56.44%

Draw 24.57%

Paraguay	Draw	Argentina
1-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.6) 2-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.2) Other @ 1.77% Total : 18.97%	1-1 @ 11.53% ( 0.35) 0-0 @ 8.46% ( 1.24) 2-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.4) Other @ 0.65% Total : 24.57%	0-1 @ 13.85% ( 1.32) 0-2 @ 11.34% ( 0.47) 1-2 @ 9.44% ( -0.27) 0-3 @ 6.19% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 5.15% ( -0.47) 0-4 @ 2.53% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.36) 1-4 @ 2.11% ( -0.33) Other @ 3.69% Total : 56.44%