Tokyo 2020

Olympic Games Men's Football | Group Stage

Jul 25, 2021 at 12.30pm UK

Nissan Stadium

Saudi Arabia U23s
2 - 3
Germany U23s

Al Naji (30', 50')
Alhamddan (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Amiri (11'), Ache (43'), Uduokhai (75')
Pieper (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Olympic Games Men's Football clash between Saudi Arabia Under-23s and Germany Under-23s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia Under-23s win with a probability of 46.27%. A win for Germany Under-23s had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.62%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Germany Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Saudi Arabia Under-23s	Draw	Germany Under-23s
46.27%	22.55%	31.18%

Both teams to score 65.06%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.58%

35.42%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.54%

57.45%

Saudi Arabia Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.17%

15.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55%

45%

Germany Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.29%

22.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.63%

56.37%

Score Analysis

Saudi Arabia Under-23s 46.27%

Germany Under-23s 31.18%

Draw 22.55%

Saudi Arabia Under-23s	Draw	Germany Under-23s
2-1 @ 9.05% 1-0 @ 6.62% 2-0 @ 6.11% 3-1 @ 5.56% 3-2 @ 4.12% 3-0 @ 3.75% 4-1 @ 2.56% 4-2 @ 1.9% 4-0 @ 1.73% 5-1 @ 0.95% 4-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.96% Total : 46.27%	1-1 @ 9.82% 2-2 @ 6.71% 0-0 @ 3.59% 3-3 @ 2.04% Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.55%	1-2 @ 7.28% 0-1 @ 5.33% 0-2 @ 3.95% 1-3 @ 3.6% 2-3 @ 3.32% 0-3 @ 1.95% 1-4 @ 1.33% 2-4 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.2% Total : 31.18%