Tokyo 2020

Olympic Games Men's Football | Group Stage

Jul 28, 2021 at 9am UK

Saitama Stadium 2002

Saudi Arabia U23s
1 - 3
Brazil U23s

Al Amri (27')
Al-Shahrani (29'), Ali (74'), Aldawsari (80'), Al Bukhari (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Cunha (14'), Richarlison (76', 90+3')
Arana (26'), Martinelli (90+6'), Alves (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Olympic Games Men's Football clash between Saudi Arabia Under-23s and Brazil Under-23s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia Under-23s win with a probability of 38.81%. A win for Brazil Under-23s had a probability of 37.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.8%) and 2-0 (5.41%). The likeliest Brazil Under-23s win was 1-2 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Saudi Arabia Under-23s	Draw	Brazil Under-23s
38.81%	23.62%	37.57%

Both teams to score 62.93%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.02%

38.98%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.7%

61.3%

Saudi Arabia Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.62%

20.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.21%

52.78%

Brazil Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.03%

20.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.27%

53.73%

Score Analysis

Saudi Arabia Under-23s 38.81%

Brazil Under-23s 37.57%

Draw 23.61%

Saudi Arabia Under-23s	Draw	Brazil Under-23s
2-1 @ 8.45% 1-0 @ 6.8% 2-0 @ 5.41% 3-1 @ 4.48% 3-2 @ 3.5% 3-0 @ 2.87% 4-1 @ 1.78% 4-2 @ 1.39% 4-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 3% Total : 38.81%	1-1 @ 10.61% 2-2 @ 6.6% 0-0 @ 4.27% 3-3 @ 1.82% Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.61%	1-2 @ 8.29% 0-1 @ 6.67% 0-2 @ 5.21% 1-3 @ 4.32% 2-3 @ 3.44% 0-3 @ 2.71% 1-4 @ 1.69% 2-4 @ 1.34% 0-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.83% Total : 37.57%