NIFL Premiership Gameweek 4
Aug 29, 2026 6.00pm
The Showgrounds

Ballymena United vs Larne - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ballymena United

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Aug 21, 2026 7.45pm
Ballymena 0 - 2 Glentoran
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Chris McKee

Larne

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Larne 0 - 0 Limavady United

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Larne win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Ballymena United has a probability of 31.71% and a draw has a probability of 27.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Ballymena United win is 1-0 (8.48%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.43%).

Result

Ballymena United 31.71% ▲ (+0.13)
Draw 27.08% ▲ (+0.10)
Larne 41.21% ▼ (-0.23)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.08% ▲ (+0.29)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.88% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 1.5 27.12% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 2.5 48.08% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 51.92% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 26.23% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 3.5 73.77% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 4.5 14.44% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 4.5 85.56% ▼ (-0.10)

First Half Winner

Ballymena United 25.97% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 43.04% ▲ (+0.15)
Larne 30.99% ▼ (-0.23)

Team To Score First

Ballymena United 40.98% ▲ (+0.20)
No Goal 8.18% ▲ (+0.02)
Larne 50.84% ▼ (-0.22)

Corners

Over 8 53.15% ▲ (+0.18)
Equal 8 11.91% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 34.94% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 9 41.45% ▲ (+0.15)
Equal 9 11.7% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 9 46.85% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 10.5 30.9% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 10.5 69.11% ▼ (-0.10)

Ballymena United Goals

Over 1.5 32.01% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 1.5 67.99% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 2.5 12.03% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 87.97% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 3.56% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 96.44% ▼ (-0.05)

Larne Goals

Over 0.5 72.6% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 27.4% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 1.5 39.41% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 60.59% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 16.17%
Under 2.5 83.83%
Over 3.5 5.58% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 94.42% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Ballymena United 31.7%
Draw 27.08%
Larne 41.22%
Ballymena United
1-0 @ 8.48% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.35% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 5.12%
3-1 @ 2.95% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.32% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 31.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.43% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 8.18% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.19% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.24% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 27.08%
Larne
0-1 @ 10.46% ▼ (-0.10)
1-2 @ 8.62% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 7.25% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 3.66%
0-3 @ 3.57% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.32% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 5.34% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 41.22%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT The Showgrounds
  • Igor Rutkowski 57' yellowcard
  • Jack O'Reilly 69' yellowcard
  • 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard 8'
  • yellowcard Andy Ryan 8'
  • yellowcard Andy Ryan 30'
  • yellowcard Paul O'Neill 64'
  • yellowcard Conor McKendry 71'
  • yellowcard Tiarnan O'Connor 71'
NIFL Premiership
Nov 1, 2025 5.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
NIFL Premiership
Aug 29, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 18
Mar 11, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT The Showgrounds
  • Jordan McMullan 8' goal
  • 45' yellowcard
  • goal Tiarnan O'Connor 31'
  • yellowcard Stephen O'Donnell 41'
  • goal Paul O'Neill 75'
  • yellowcard 78'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 27
Jan 25, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 3 1
FT Inver Park
  • Andy Ryan 6' goal
  • Dylan Sloan 45' goal
  • Dylan Sloan 45'+1' goal
  • 73' yellowcard
  • goal Andrew Scott 17'
  • yellowcard 42'
  • yellowcard 42'
  • yellowcard 85'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 6
Sep 7, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Inver Park
  • Josh Seary 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Donal Rocks 50'
  • yellowcard Andrew Scott 70'
  • goal Ben Kennedy 85'
  • yellowcard Ethan Devine 86'