NIFL Premiership Gameweek 4
Aug 29, 2026 6.00pm
The Showgrounds

Ballymena United vs Larne - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ballymena United

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Aug 21, 2026 7.45pm
Ballymena 0 - 2 Glentoran
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Chris McKee

Larne

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Larne 0 - 0 Limavady United

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Larne win with a probability of 41.44%. A win for Ballymena United has a probability of 31.59% and a draw has a probability of 26.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Ballymena United win is 1-0 (8.49%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.39%).

Result

Ballymena United 31.59% (-0.24)
Draw 26.98% (-0.01)
Larne 41.44% (+0.26)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.8% (-0.25)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.76% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 27.24% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 47.98% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 52.02% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 26.12% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 73.88% (-0.06)
Over 4.5 14.35% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 85.65% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Ballymena United 25.89% (-0.17)
Draw 42.89% (-0.04)
Larne 31.21% (+0.20)

Team To Score First

Ballymena United 40.78% (-0.16)
No Goal 8.16% (-0.01)
Larne 51.06% (+0.18)

Corners

Over 8 52.98% (-0.34)
Equal 8 11.9% (-0.02)
Under 8 35.12% (+0.34)
Over 9 41.31% (-0.29)
Equal 9 11.67% (-0.06)
Under 9 47.02% (+0.34)
Over 10.5 30.79% (-0.22)
Under 10.5 69.21% (+0.21)

Ballymena United Goals

Over 1.5 31.77% (-0.20)
Under 1.5 68.23% (+0.21)
Over 2.5 11.92% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 88.08% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 3.52% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.48% (+0.03)

Larne Goals

Over 0.5 72.63% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 27.37% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 39.46% (+0.25)
Under 1.5 60.54% (-0.25)
Over 2.5 16.17% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 83.83% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 5.6% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 94.4% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Ballymena United 31.57%
Draw 26.97%
Larne 41.43%
Ballymena United
1-0 @ 8.49% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 7.29% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 5.12% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.93% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.28% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.17% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.29% (-0.05)
Total : 31.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.39% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 8.16% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.17% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.02% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.23% (+0.03)
Total : 26.97%
Larne
0-1 @ 10.56% (+0.07)
1-2 @ 8.67% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 7.28% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 3.66% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 3.62% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.03)
Other @ 5.37% (+0.07)
Total : 41.43%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT The Showgrounds
  • Igor Rutkowski 57' yellowcard
  • Jack O'Reilly 69' yellowcard
  • 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard 8'
  • yellowcard Andy Ryan 8'
  • yellowcard Andy Ryan 30'
  • yellowcard Paul O'Neill 64'
  • yellowcard Conor McKendry 71'
  • yellowcard Tiarnan O'Connor 71'
NIFL Premiership
Nov 1, 2025 5.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
NIFL Premiership
Aug 29, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 18
Mar 11, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT The Showgrounds
  • Jordan McMullan 8' goal
  • 45' yellowcard
  • goal Tiarnan O'Connor 31'
  • yellowcard Stephen O'Donnell 41'
  • goal Paul O'Neill 75'
  • yellowcard 78'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 27
Jan 25, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 3 1
FT Inver Park
  • Andy Ryan 6' goal
  • Dylan Sloan 45' goal
  • Dylan Sloan 45'+1' goal
  • 73' yellowcard
  • goal Andrew Scott 17'
  • yellowcard 42'
  • yellowcard 42'
  • yellowcard 85'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 6
Sep 7, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Inver Park
  • Josh Seary 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Donal Rocks 50'
  • yellowcard Andrew Scott 70'
  • goal Ben Kennedy 85'
  • yellowcard Ethan Devine 86'