Conference League
Aug 27, 2026 8.00pm
0
3
ET Inver Park
  • Montel Gibson 71' yellowcard
  • Matthew Lusty 73' yellowcard
  • Montel Gibson 87' redcard
  • Chris Gallagher 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bernardo Lopes  80'
  • goal Kike Gómez 82'
  • goal Manu Toledano 85'
  • yellowcard Nico Clara Pinto 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Jaylan Hankins 119'
  • goal Manu Toledano 120'+1'

Larne vs Lincoln Red Imps - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Larne

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Aug 20, 2026 5.00pm
Lincoln 0 - 2 Larne

Lincoln Red Imps

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Aug 20, 2026 5.00pm
Lincoln 0 - 2 Larne

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 49.89%. A win for Lincoln Red Imps had a probability of 26.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Lincoln Red Imps win was 0-1 (7.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result

Larne 49.89% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 23.43% ▲ (+0.02)
Lincoln Red Imps 26.68% ▼ (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.81% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.47% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 24.53% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 52.42% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 47.58% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 30.04% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 3.5 69.96% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 4.5 17.69% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 4.5 82.31% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Larne 40.8% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 37.91% ▲ (+0.05)
Lincoln Red Imps 21.3% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Larne 55.91% ▼ (-0.06)
No Goal 6.68% ▲ (+0.02)
Lincoln Red Imps 37.41% ▲ (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 56.87% ▼ (-0.06)
Equal 8 11.24% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 31.89% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 9 45.5% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.37% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 9 43.13% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 10.5 34.92% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 10.5 65.08% ▲ (+0.02)

Larne Goals

Over 1.5 47.13% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 52.87% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 22.63%
Under 2.5 77.37%
Over 3.5 8.62%
Under 3.5 91.38%

Lincoln Red Imps Goals

Over 0.5 60.98% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 0.5 39.02% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 1.5 28.38% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 71.62% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 10.14% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 89.86% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 3.42% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 96.58% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Larne 49.9%
Draw 23.43%
Lincoln Red Imps 26.68%
Larne
1-0 @ 10.55% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.4% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.36% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.09% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.06%
Other @ 8.48%
Total : 49.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.8% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.68% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.91% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.43%
Lincoln Red Imps
0-1 @ 7.31%
1-2 @ 6.41%
0-2 @ 3.86%
1-3 @ 2.37% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 26.68%

Head to Head

Conference League
Aug 20, 2026 5.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Europa Point Stadium
  • Manu Toledano 20' yellowcard
  • Yussef Flalhi Idrissi 27' redcard
  • Graeme Torrilla 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sean Graham 27'
  • yellowcard Matthew Lusty 43'
  • yellowcard Montel Gibson 57'
  • yellowcard Jordan McEneff 73'
  • goal Paul O'Neill 85'
  • goal Kevin O'Hara 90'+3'
Conference League
Aug 29, 2024 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Inver Park
  • Andy Ryan 30' goal
  • Christopher Gallagher 39' yellowcard
  • Andy Ryan 43' goal
  • Jordan McEneff 52' yellowcard
  • Tiernan Lynch 54' yellowcard
  • Christopher Gallagher 59' redcard
  • Levi Ives 66' yellowcard
  • Andy Ryan 83' goal
  • Rohan Ferguson 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Joseph Thomson 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Bernardo Lopes 20'
  • yellowcard Antonio Garcia Montero 42'
Conference League
Aug 22, 2024 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Do Algarve
  • Kike Gomez 23' goal
  • Rafael Munoz Benavides 31' yellowcard
  • Tjay De Barr 38' yellowcard
  • Joe Oliver 42' goal
  • Ethan Britto 55' yellowcard
  • Graeme Torilla 67' yellowcard
  • goal Matt Lusty 16'
  • yellowcard Christopher Gallagher 26'
  • yellowcard Dylan Sloan 64'