NIFL Premiership Gameweek 3
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Inver Park

Larne vs Limavady United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Larne

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 3.00pm
Coleraine 0 - 0 Larne

Limavady United

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 3.00pm
Limavady United 1 - 2 Carrick
Goals scored
1
Top scorer
Alfie Gaston

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 47.18%. A win for Limavady United had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Limavady United win was 0-1 (7.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result

Larne 47.18% ▲ (+2.11)
Draw 24.3% ▼ (-1.25)
Limavady United 28.47% ▼ (-0.93)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.44% ▲ (+2.67)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.97% ▲ (+2.49)
Under 1.5 25.03% ▼ (-2.49)
Over 2.5 52.26% ▲ (+3.23)
Under 2.5 47.74% ▼ (-3.23)
Over 3.5 30.16% ▲ (+2.81)
Under 3.5 69.84% ▼ (-2.82)
Over 4.5 17.53% ▲ (+2.10)
Under 4.5 82.47% ▼ (-2.10)

First Half Winner

Larne 34.19% ▲ (+0.15)
Draw 41.86% ▲ (+0.04)
Limavady United 23.95% ▼ (-0.18)

Team To Score First

Larne 53.98% ▲ (+0.45)
No Goal 7.3% ▼ (-1.05)
Limavady United 38.72% ▲ (+0.61)

Corners

Over 8 46.29% ▲ (+2.02)
Equal 8 12.49% ▲ (+0.32)
Under 8 41.22% ▼ (-2.33)
Over 9 34.66% ▲ (+1.54)
Equal 9 11.62% ▲ (+0.46)
Under 9 53.71% ▼ (-2.02)
Over 10.5 24.74% ▲ (+1.04)
Under 10.5 75.26% ▼ (-1.04)

Larne Goals

Over 1.5 44.9% ▲ (+3.26)
Under 1.5 55.1% ▼ (-3.26)
Over 2.5 21.16% ▲ (+2.41)
Under 2.5 78.84% ▼ (-2.41)
Over 3.5 7.83% ▲ (+1.17)
Under 3.5 92.17% ▼ (-1.18)

Limavady United Goals

Over 0.5 62.88% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 0.5 37.12% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 1.5 29.85% ▲ (+0.68)
Under 1.5 70.15% ▼ (-0.68)
Over 2.5 11.01% ▲ (+0.45)
Under 2.5 88.99% ▼ (-0.46)
Over 3.5 3.69% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 3.5 96.31% ▼ (-0.27)

Score analysis

Larne 47.18%
Draw 24.31%
Limavady United 28.46%
Larne
1-0 @ 10.07% ▼ (-0.65)
2-1 @ 9.28% ▲ (+0.39)
2-0 @ 7.51% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 4.93% ▲ (+0.47)
3-0 @ 4.37% ▲ (+0.25)
3-2 @ 3.2% ▲ (+0.40)
Other @ 7.82% ▲ (+1.17)
Total : 47.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.21% ▼ (-0.57)
0-0 @ 7.3% ▼ (-1.05)
2-2 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.25)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.31%
Limavady United
0-1 @ 7.61% ▼ (-0.83)
1-2 @ 6.69% ▼ (-0.12)
0-2 @ 3.99% ▼ (-0.28)
1-3 @ 2.74% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.99% ▲ (+0.12)
0-3 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 3.68% ▲ (+0.27)
Total : 28.46%