NIFL Premiership
Aug 15, 2026 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT The Showgrounds
  • Alfie Gaston 54' goal
  • goal Paul Heatley 37'
  • goal Aidan Steele 41'

Limavady United vs Carrick Rangers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Limavady United

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 3.00pm
Glentoran 2 - 0 Limavady United

Carrick Rangers

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 3.00pm
Carrick 1 - 0 Portadown

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for Limavady United had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Limavady United win was 1-0 (7.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result

Limavady United 30.48% ▼ (-0.11)
Draw 25.76% ▼ (-0.01)
Carrick Rangers 43.71% ▲ (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.9% ▲ (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.23% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 25.77% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 50.47%
Under 2.5 49.53%
Over 3.5 29.05% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 70.95% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 4.5 16.77% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 83.23% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Limavady United 24.4%
Draw 41.67% ▼ (-0.06)
Carrick Rangers 33.93% ▲ (+0.07)

Team To Score First

Limavady United 43.49%
No Goal 7.85% ▼ (-0.03)
Carrick Rangers 48.66% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 50.66% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.82%
Under 8 37.52% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 9 39.28% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.39%
Under 9 49.34% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 10.5 29.18% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 10.5 70.82% ▼ (-0.05)

Limavady United Goals

Over 1.5 31.45% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 68.55% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 11.56% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 88.44% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 3.72% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.28% ▲ (+0.02)

Carrick Rangers Goals

Over 0.5 73.68% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 26.32% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 41.9% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 58.1% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 19.13% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 80.87% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 7.39% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 92.61% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Limavady United 30.48%
Draw 25.76%
Carrick Rangers 43.7%
Limavady United
1-0 @ 7.94% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 7.23% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.84% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.02%
Other @ 3.59% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 30.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.81%
0-0 @ 7.85% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.01%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.76%
Carrick Rangers
0-1 @ 9.92%
1-2 @ 8.62% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 7.12% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.44% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 7.26% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 43.7%