Club Friendlies 3
Jul 28, 2026 7.30pm
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena

Carrick Rangers vs Ards - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Carrick Rangers

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 24, 2026 7.30pm
Carrick 0 - 3 Ballymena

Ards

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 16, 2026 7.30pm
Bangor 2 - 0 Ards

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for Ards has a probability of 29.32% and a draw has a probability of 24.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.57%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Ards win is 1-2 (6.46%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.28%).

Result

Carrick Rangers 46.23% (+0.12)
Draw 24.45% (+0.06)
Ards 29.32% (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.87% (-0.21)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.28% (-0.16)
Under 1.5 19.72% (+0.17)
Over 2.5 59.4% (-0.29)
Under 2.5 40.6% (+0.29)
Over 3.5 38.38% (-0.24)
Under 3.5 61.62% (+0.24)
Over 4.5 23.7% (-0.20)
Under 4.5 76.3% (+0.19)

First Half Winner

Carrick Rangers 34.6% (-0.04)
Draw 38.85% (-0.08)
Ards 26.55% (+0.11)

Team To Score First

Carrick Rangers 54.23% (-0.02)
No Goal 6.23% (+0.08)
Ards 39.54% (-0.07)

Corners

Over 8 60.48% (-0.16)
Equal 8 11.5% (+0.03)
Under 8 28.02% (+0.13)
Over 9 48.5% (-0.16)
Equal 9 11.98% (+0.02)
Under 9 39.52% (+0.16)
Over 10.5 37.11% (-0.17)
Under 10.5 62.89% (+0.17)

Carrick Rangers Goals

Over 1.5 49.17% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 50.83% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 25.15% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 74.85% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 10.62% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 89.38% (+0.02)

Ards Goals

Over 0.5 65.44% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 34.56% (+0.18)
Over 1.5 35.05% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 64.95% (+0.25)
Over 2.5 14.76% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 85.24% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 5.52% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 94.48% (+0.13)

Score analysis

Carrick Rangers 46.22%
Draw 24.46%
Ards 29.32%
Carrick Rangers
2-1 @ 8.79%
1-0 @ 7.57% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 6.56% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 5.4% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.86% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.7% (-0.03)
Other @ 10.34% (-0.02)
Total : 46.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.28% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.23% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 6.1% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.57% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 24.46%
Ards
1-2 @ 6.46% (-0.05)
0-1 @ 5.92% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 4.03% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.19% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.57% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.91% (-0.03)
Other @ 5.24% (-0.13)
Total : 29.32%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership Relegation Playoffs
May 6, 2019 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Jonathan Taylor 36' goal
  • goal Mark Surgenor 3'
  • goal Ryan Strain 29'
  • redcard Chris Rodgers 47'
NIFL Premiership Relegation Playoffs
May 3, 2019 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Michael Smith 10' goal