Club Friendlies 3
Jul 28, 2026 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
  • 53' goal

Carrick Rangers vs Ards - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Carrick Rangers

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 24, 2026 7.30pm
Carrick 0 - 3 Ballymena

Ards

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 16, 2026 7.30pm
Bangor 2 - 0 Ards

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 46.34%. A win for Ards had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.67%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Ards win was 1-2 (6.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result

Carrick Rangers 46.34% (+0.12)
Draw 24.52% (+0.08)
Ards 29.14% (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.71% (-0.16)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.07% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 19.93% (+0.22)
Over 2.5 59.18% (-0.22)
Under 2.5 40.82% (+0.22)
Over 3.5 38.12% (-0.27)
Under 3.5 61.88% (+0.27)
Over 4.5 23.46% (-0.24)
Under 4.5 76.54% (+0.25)

First Half Winner

Carrick Rangers 34.58% (-0.03)
Draw 38.83% (-0.03)
Ards 26.59% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Carrick Rangers 54.26% (+0.04)
No Goal 6.31% (+0.08)
Ards 39.43% (-0.11)

Corners

Over 8 60.59% (+0.12)
Equal 8 11.48% (-0.02)
Under 8 27.94% (-0.08)
Over 9 48.62% (+0.12)
Equal 9 11.96% (-0.02)
Under 9 39.41% (-0.12)
Over 10.5 37.23% (+0.12)
Under 10.5 62.77% (-0.12)

Carrick Rangers Goals

Over 1.5 49.16% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 50.84% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 25.08% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 74.92% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 10.53% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 89.47% (+0.10)

Ards Goals

Over 0.5 65.27% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 34.73% (+0.17)
Over 1.5 34.79% (-0.26)
Under 1.5 65.21% (+0.26)
Over 2.5 14.59% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 85.41% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 5.4% (-0.12)
Under 3.5 94.6% (+0.12)

Score analysis

Carrick Rangers 46.34%
Draw 24.52%
Ards 29.14%
Carrick Rangers
2-1 @ 8.84% (+0.06)
1-0 @ 7.67% (+0.10)
2-0 @ 6.59% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.41% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.9% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.67% (-0.04)
Other @ 10.26% (-0.09)
Total : 46.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.28%
0-0 @ 6.31% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 6.09% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 0.27% (-0.02)
Total : 24.52%
Ards
1-2 @ 6.43% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 5.95% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 4.01% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.16% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.9% (-0.02)
Other @ 5.13% (-0.12)
Total : 29.14%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership Relegation Playoffs
May 6, 2019 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Jonathan Taylor 36' goal
  • goal Mark Surgenor 3'
  • goal Ryan Strain 29'
  • redcard Chris Rodgers 47'
NIFL Premiership Relegation Playoffs
May 3, 2019 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Michael Smith 10' goal