Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 40.52%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 39.48% and a draw had a probability of 19.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.34%) and 0-2 (4.56%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 2-1 (8.13%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.